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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs
SPY 690.270.0%Dec 26 4:00 PM EST

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To: Johnny Canuck who wrote (57521)11/16/2023 5:22:10 AM
From: Johnny Canuck  Read Replies (1) of 69262
 
Lots of interesting stats in this video.

Remember that a probability is not a certainty it is just a bias towards something happening.

The major stat is that when the Fed starts to pause, it will typically pauses on average for 5 months.

A rate cut after that pause typically indicates the Fed overtightened and then a recession usually results 11 out of 14 times.

5 months after the cut a bottom happens in the market. Re-phrases it means 5 months of a sell off.

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