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Politics : Formerly About Advanced Micro Devices

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To: Maple MAGA who wrote (1450429)	4/4/2024 6:07:36 PM
From: puborectalis	1 Recommendation of 1575399

The latest poll from Franklin & Marshall College shows a more optimistic Pennsylvania, while offering mixed news for the presidential candidates and better news for the Republican candidate for the U.S. Senate. The good news for President Joe Biden comes in the form of a two-horse race against former President Donald Trump. After landing within the margin of error against the 45th president in February, the 46th president has more than doubled the 4.0% margin of error (MOE) in this survey with a 48-38% percent advantage. An additional 13% favored “someone else,” while just 1% indicated that they did not know. When two other options were presented to the respondents in the form of Jill Stein (Green) and Robert Kennedy Jr. (Independent), the race moved within the MOE with Biden at 42% and Trump at 40%. Kennedy (9%) and Stein (3%) seemed to take more support from Biden, who was at 42-37% with the same question in February. Pollster Berwood Yost said that to better understand the effects that third-party candidates might have on the presidential race, his survey used a tool known as a “split-ballot experiment.” This uses a random procedure to assign different forms of a question to survey participants. Properly designed, these experiments create groups of people who are identical in all ways except for the form of the question they receive. “This experiment shows that the race is closer when third-party candidates are offered because support for the President declines among registered Democrats as more of them opt for a third-party candidate,” he wrote. Republican Dave McCormick made inroads into Sen. Bob Casey’s 12-percentage point advantage from February, trailing the three-time senator, 46-39%. While nearly 1 in 7 respondents were undecided (14%) in February, that number dropped to 1 in 8 (12%) in March and seemed to favor the former hedge fund CEO.

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