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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts
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ajtj99
To: Sun Tzu who wrote (86123)4/23/2024 3:45:47 PM
From: Tweets Boar Hog1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 97561
 
Imo the secular bear in NG has ended. A new secular bull has started. The last one went for 16 yrs bottom to top roughly.

Tentatively I had mid April as an NG low, appears to be a secondary low.

Boil as we know is a bit more tricky. Not yet proven the final low is in, but should get a good pop here. Another low should occur in about 6 or maybe even 9 months, if it is 6 months that is the shoulder season low before winter hits. L48 is over due for a hard winter, one of these years.

Regardless Boil going to be a huge play.

Rotary rig counts for ng still in the crapper. Not much investment going on. Good for the NG fundamentals.

Tweets

The master of cycles has the NG intermediate cycle at 4.5 yrs. For the last three cycles the 4 yr been a better fit. We're just past the last mid April 4 yr low.



This is a chart shown earlier, predicted an end of Feb low in the NG continuous. We got that low, it held. I added another 12 mos cycle, phased just to the right of the previous one, off a lower low. It hit a few days ago. Looks like it will hold.

I added the Boil overlay, go back and look at the previous 4 yr low. Who knows what will happen this time around, but in any event you can see the 6 mos and 9 mos cycle, off that Boil low, at the last 4 yr NG low. Boil then made a lower LT low.



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