Zeev, I received the following email from KJM Capital. This information was posted on this thread a few days ago. To my knowledge, nobody has determined that this Rothschild is the "Rothschild". Things getting nutty, or what?
<<Note: Gordon Rothschild is probably the most knowledgable person on the planet on desert dirts!!
To: Matt C. Austin From: J. Gordon Rothschild Thursday, Feb 12 1998 2:22PM EST
Matt, I've had little time since July last to read your chat room here, so I've had a staff member keep up with it. I have a bit of time between planes, so I'll see if I can give you a hand enlightening the readers. I have the utmost respect for you North Americans in most fields, especially the information business. You are woefully behind however in grasping mother nature and how she distributed her bounty. Precious metals abound in the earth's crust and they are present in many different configurations. Most of the easy placers have been uncovered during the last 120 years, leaving us with the more difficult ones to work with now.
Enlightenment is starting to come through however. One of the largest gold producers in the world has gotten contol of the old 'King Tut' thru a dummy corporation. The deposit is in North Western Arizona and was the subject of a U S Geological Survey 1969, circular #560. The study reckoned .04 to 05 ounces gold/cu yd., it is placer in nature - typical Arizona desert sand/dg. I ran a few quickie, crude leaches on it and came up with about twice the reported values. This is a very poor property in comparison to several others in Arizona but a great deal of money is going into research on it.
There are 2 deposits in S Africa quite similar to B R basin material that have been in production for several years now. The security on their process is quite stern and there's little chance that they will part with their secrets. They have a bit less iron than you have to deal with being the major difference.
We are funding a private venture in Russia that has many common characteristics with the basin goods also. I have 3 very good metallurgists on the project and results are quite encouraging after only about one year. I prefer Russia for exploration. The infrastructure is simply horrible but once you learn how to do business there-it's a snap. The finished process appears as though it will probably be a mineral acid leach with some electro-chem extraction from the pregant leach liquor. Our numbers are looking to be quite similar to black rock. We are getting metal in hand: 30 Au - 80 Pt - 90 Pd all are grams/metric ton. Total extraction costs probably in the area of U S $40 to $65/metric ton, altho it's a little early to state that positively. Costs outside the country: add perhaps 25%, another advantage of doing business in Russia.
On your call on metals and stocks prices: We had a very large exposure in Barrick at one point, and a large collection of juniors. When the London fix came down through $308, we cut the Barrick position in half and sold the most of the small ones. We've been adding to our IPM position and started buying a small bit of MG Gold. That cinder deposit has some excellent numbers and if your new extraction procedure works on it, you'll have two of the better deposits in AZ. We sold out of the Canadiens about 18 months ago. The most of the management talent along with the best exploration people have all left the country and left the graft and corruption behind. The equity markets should be about long term investments, not the buy in November-sell in May attitude.
Metals prices are always hard to call but Munk and Soros have both been shorting the gold and it's hard to fight that kind of pressure. Long term, my analysts see lower prices especially when the majors move more and more into Arizona. Now that one of them is there, the me-too attitude will come running. Buffet certainly made an excellent call on Ag. I personally thought the new camera technology would hold the metal price down and keep the supply deficit from becoming problematic. You can't win them all.
Motives of the people putting notes in these chat rooms: certainly some of them were involved in the shorting exercise that instilled fear in the public position. The funds, other than the Japanese forced sales, have done little selling of the stock. That's the difference between the knowledgeable and the short term "player." It's hard for the general public to understand what's going on in this segment but that is one of the problems when you are dealing with a public corporation. Some of these people probably mean well but they just don't understand the mining industry and the recent turn of events. Any body that talks down IPM'S management team simply doesn't know what he's talking about. Furlong showed his heads up when he brought Doyle in early. Doyle has raised close to 2 Billion U S for mining projects over the years and certainly has an enviable grasp on the cluster evolvement. At a meeting in the U K years ago, I saw Alan raise over 7 million U S during dinner and left with the checks in his pocket and gave them a receipt on a piece of notebook paper. Were it not for A D, IPM would not have made it this far, nor would they enjoy the institutional support that they do.
Matt, you have made one major mistake and it has to do with management. Having mining people on the board or as advisors only, won't get the job done. Mining is a tough business and moving from an explorer to a producer requires that mining people be involved as upper management. I can't stress that enough, it's an absolute necessity. Thinking back over the years, I would guesstimate that 96% of the juniors have come and gone. Even the best of deposits cannot win out over poor management. There are hundreds of little decisions made daily in any kind of business and if a large majority are not made correctly, you'll end up in a pickle. On an odds basis, I would say that only one of the other public cluster metal companies will ever get into real, profitable production. The mining sector is tough enough without the added problems of difficult extraction parameters AND the lack of top flight leadership.
The segment is attracting some good people, the latest being Mr. Childress. I don't know him personally but a call to New York assured me that he's one of the best CFO's around. The street needs that sort of quality to gain belief in what the company is doing. The financial end is often foolishly overlooked.
Matt, I'd like to ask you to be 'a gentler soul' in your notes. You're the only good source of information flow that they have here. I know the kind of foolishness you're facing, but someone needs to help them along, especially since CL is no longer commenting. I hope to have the time to make it to the General Meeting this year, perhaps we can meet and exchange pleasantries.
J G
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