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Strategies & Market Trends : Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends

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From: humble19/23/2024 9:24:07 AM
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More cuts; .75 more. 1/2 + 1/4

Speaking separately Monday morning, Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic indicated he expects the Fed to move aggressively in getting back to a neutral rate.

“Progress on inflation and the cooling of the labor market have emerged much more quickly than I imagined at the beginning of the summer,” said Bostic, who does vote this year on the FOMC. “In this moment, I envision normalizing monetary policy sooner than I thought would be appropriate even a few months ago.”

Bostic also noted that last week’s cut puts the Fed in a better position on policy, in that it can slow the pace of easing if inflation starts to peak up again, or accelerate it if the labor market slows further.

Market pricing anticipates a relatively even chance of the FOMC cutting by either a quarter- or half-percentage point at its November meeting, with a stronger likelihood of the larger move in December, for a total of 0.75 percentage point in further reductions by the end of the year, according to the CME Group’s FedWatch measure.
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