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Strategies & Market Trends : Stochastics

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To: Roger Hess who wrote (216)	2/20/1998 9:39:00 AM
From: Wayners	Read Replies (2) of 927

Analysis at close on 2/19/98. AMAT-Was up 0.88. Narrow bollinger bands with the uptrend still intact. Won't break up until 5 day stochastics bottom. 5 day stochastics are starting to curve a bit but their still pointed down. AMAT will break up within next three day. AMZN--The break has happened. Time to buy it. ASND--Solid uptrend. (Not a Neutral trend). Bollinger bands on price are now at their narrowist. I think its time to buy again. AVM--Trend has turned downward on narrow bollinger bands. This thing is going to go lower. Time to exit long positions. AVNT--Basing out on little volatility. Very narrow bollinger bands on price. 5 day stochastic showing upward hook. With the 5 day stochastics in its current position, the current bias is still for an upward break. BMY--Very close now to breaking below $97.50. The trend is down now, bands widening and 5 day stochastics are quite high but not showing the hook yet. This is developing into a real good short play. CADE--Another down day on neutral trend. Again, good thing everybody here took profits. Seeya at the lower band at $2 1/4 CBIZ--I think its just a matter of time before this breaks upward again. Continued profit taking/consolidation now. Watch the trend carefully. CEXP--Slight uptrend. About to pop uwards a bit. Long term trend is way down--so makes me nervous for long positions. 5 Day stochastics look bottomed, but no hook. I'd consider a long position now. CFON--Dropped 0.3125. Another longer term downtrend to make it a risky long. No play. Narrow bands on neutral short term trend. Less than $5 so no new shorting allowed. CIEN--Narrow bollinger bands. Quick buy period is over. Price near upper band, gently curving downward 3 day moving average. 5 day stochastic showing the hook. Great short term short play.--This was the call yesterday. Anybody that actually did it would have CLEANED UP on the earnings warning. CIEN is going to open DOWN 14 points!!!! CKFR- CKFR is a risky short term buy at the lower bollinger band ($22.50) on neutral/slight downtrend play. Three days at the lower bollinger band on price--a usua short term reversal point. CORR--Downtrend and narrow bollinger bands. Didn't break down--shows the risk of playing narrow bollinger bands. Upward break makes it a buy now. CPQ--Strong uptrend. Again Good buying opportunity. Bollinger bands fully narrowed now. 5 day stochastic has now hooked. CTXS--Third day of touching lower bollinger band on price. Usually a reversal day. This stock trades between the bands. Looks like a short term buy. 5 day stochastics have hooked upward. Risk brom slightly down trend. CYPB--Too bad can't short under $5. Narrow bollinger bands on neutral trend. 5 day stochastics showing the hook and the trend is slightly down. Band narrow but not dropping drastically. Bands are so narrow here got to wait to see the break. DWRX--Another big upday. Strong uptrend. 5 day stochastics showing the hook again for upward move. Narrow bollinger bands. Breaking upwards again. EFII--uptrend turning into a neutral trend and 5 day stochastics at the lower bollinger band. Looks like a buy to me. GERN--5 day stochastic crossed below the 20 level. Looking for a bottom here. Neutral trend and narrow bollinger bands make it a riskier play. Best way to play is to short at $13 1/2 and cover at $12 repeatedly. Can also buy at $12 and sell at $13 1/2. IIT --Another up day--but with the short term downtrend--its starting to look like its close to a top. Don't be afraid to take profits today. IOM--Down slightly Neutral trend. Price at the lower band. Last chance to cover shorts short term Time to cover shorts. Narrowing bollinger bands. 5 day stochastics bottoming at 20. Slight hook now showing for upward move. IRIDF--neutralizing uptrend. 5 day stochastics hooked downward. No play in its consolidation mode. Watch for break up or down. Downward break bias looking at 5 day stochastics. Another risky narrow bollinger band play. Bias for downward break. JLG--uptrend. 5 day stochastics at 20 area. Great play yesterday. Still a good quick buy. LCCI--Profit taking is occurring. 5 day stochastics showing nice downward hook. Not at a bottom yet. Uptrend still is intact. LSI Slight uptrend appears to be neutralizing, bands narrowing, consolidation occuring. Take profits short term. Have a slight hook for a buy. Trend is neutral. Must be a real quick buy play. Limited profit potential of a dollar or two. Probably further consolidation near term. LTBG--Strong Downtrend. No play or quick short. Need some type of peak to short into. Not showing any price movement--just basing out. LTXX--Don't like long term downtrend. Neutral trend and narrow bollinger bands. Stochastics at 20. Try buying on a hook, but better short play over $5.00 at the upper bollinger band on price and peak in stochastics. Looking for a quick upward pop. MEDA--uptrend undergoing profit taking and consolidation. No play still. MIND--Stochastics at 20 and price at the lower bollinger band. Downtrend has developed. Look for peak in stochastics w/hook to short into. MUEI--Another strong up day. Strong uptrend remained intact. Showing a strong hook now. Looks like a strong/quick buy to me. NORT--downtrend and can't short it ($1.50 stock). Stochastics are less than the 12 day moving average which is bearish. NSCP--uptrend remains intact and 5 day stochastics under 20. Buy here or wait for the hook. ORCL--uptrend now neutral and narrow bollinger bands. 5 day stochastics at the lower band and under 20. Must wait for the hook or buy at the lower bollinger band on price. OXHP--uptrend heading towards neutral and 5 day stochastics at the lower band. Look for and buy on hook on stochastics. PNDA--slight downtrend--no play. Under $5 now--can't short it anymore. 5 day stochastics hooking downward. PRMS--Slight downtrend and and narrow bollinger bands. 5 day stochastics appear now to be peaked. I'd strongly consider shorting it. PSIX --I hate this stock. Slight uptrend. Short on next peak in stochastics or at the upper bollinger bandt. Trend is neutralizing before going down.. QWST--Downtrend--short at the next stochastics peak. Exit any long positions then too. RIG--Neutral trend and too unpredictable to play.. SCTC-Narrow bands now indicating downward break. Slight downtrend now. SHVA--on an uptrend but consolidating for next move. SMOD-Hooking on stochastics. Buy. SOCR--slight downtrend and near a peak. Waiting for break. SUNW-- Will be a great short term short on the next peak in stochastics. The trend is DOWN now. SYNT--on a strong uptrend. May still want to try a quick buy. TDFX--neutral trend. Look for short at the next peak/hook in 5 day stochastics or buy for ride to top band. TMX--on an uptrend. 5 day stochastics at 20. Showing the hook for a buy. Its a short term buy here. TRBO--Neutral trend/slight uptrend. Looks good for a long now. TSSW--Quick buy on break worked well. On an uptrend. Don't get too greedy. Take profits. VECO--Entering consolidation period. WCII--Continued consolidation. Looks like uptrend is getting weary. Looks like only small profit potential is available on the long side. WTT--Broke upward. Take profits when momentum begins to slow.

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