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Pastimes : All Things Weather and Mother Nature
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From: Don Green10/5/2024 10:33:13 AM
   of 935
 
Helene is the fourth Gulf Coast hurricane to make landfall this year. Only five other years had that many since comprehensive hurricane records began in 1851.

The last time was 2020.

Locating the center of a hurricane is essential to forecast storm surge flooding, but it is also critical to remember that impacts from the storm go far beyond the coast, extend well outside of the forecast cone and are not symmetric to the center of the storm.

Recognizing ground conditions before the storm arrives is also vital to understanding what comes next. Long before Helene was anywhere near the southern Appalachians, rain was already falling there, but it had nothing to do with the hurricane.

The influence of climate change on this storm is twofold and intertwined. One is rainfall intensity and the other is hurricane strength. The broad connections are straightforward, but getting a precise figure on the attribution is complex.

insideclimatenews.org
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