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Technology Stocks : AMD, ARMH, INTC, NVDA

AMD 255.96

+2.3%

3:59 PM EST

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To: Vattila who wrote (57164)

11/1/2024 9:12:29 AM

From: Vattila

Read Replies (3) of 72133

AMD 2024-Q3 EPS Contest (non-GAAP) — Results

Reported Results:		$0.92	$6.82B	$7.50B ± 0.30B
Rank	User	EPS	Revenue	Outlook
-	Bing Copilot	$0.93	$6.75B	$7.85B
-	Zacks Estimate	$0.91	$6.71B	$7.54B
1	Pravin Kamdar	$0.91	$6.70B	$7.60B
2	rzborusa	$0.94	$6.80B	$7.75B
3	Vattila	$0.94	$6.76B	$7.90B
4	Kelvin C.P. Wang	$0.95	$6.80B	$7.90B
5	neolib	$0.95	$6.75B	$7.85B
6	Joe NYC	$0.96	$6.80B	$7.70B

Sorry for the late results.

Congratulations to Pravin for the win! Rzborusa secured second rank, just beating me on the revenue tie-breaker. Copilot did very well this quarter and beat us all, as did Zacks, just losing out to Copilot on slightly lower revenue.

On overall scores, Zacks was well ahead, scoring over 0.9, followed by Pravin, Joe and Rzborusa. All scored above Copilot at 0.8, except for Neolib and I, who trailed the pack just below.

On the leaderboard, Joe retains the top spot, and he looks poised to beat his full-year personal best, if he can keep his average up. Copilot falls from second to fourth, overtaken by Zacks and Rzborusa. Neolib drops from rank 2 down the board, landing just above me and Kelvin at the bottom. Meanwhile, Pravin climbs from rank 4 to rank 3.

Thanks to all for playing!

---

Scoreboards

Note that, unlike the main EPS Contest, which is primarily ranked by EPS, these boards are ranked by overall score, which is an equally weighted average of subscores. Scores are calculated as (1+error)^-2 per quarter and normalized for the year by sum(scores)/4. The squaring of the denominator in the score calculation is just done to spread out the scores a little. There is no explicit relative weighting of EPS and revenue error, i.e. a 1 cent error in EPS equals a $10M error in revenue.

AMD 2024 EPS Contest Scores

2024 Leaderboard

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Joe NYC	3	0.70	0.68	0.65	0.6752
-	Zacks Estimate	3	0.73	0.63	0.65	0.6666
2	rzborusa	3	0.72	0.68	0.58	0.6607
-	Bing Copilot	3	0.72	0.67	0.57	0.6537
3	Pravin Kamdar	3	0.72	0.63	0.60	0.6510
4	neolib	3	0.73	0.68	0.53	0.6471
5	Vattila	3	0.71	0.67	0.51	0.6306
6	Kelvin C.P. Wang	3	0.73	0.66	0.47	0.6197

AMD 2023 EPS Contest Scores

2023 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.97	0.89	0.66	0.8390
1	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.94	0.88	0.56	0.7938
2	Vattila	4	0.98	0.89	0.46	0.7759
3	neolib	4	0.96	0.80	0.56	0.7735
-	Bing Chat	4	0.94	0.83	0.47	0.7457
4	Joe NYC	4	0.95	0.80	0.46	0.7375
5	rzborusa	4	0.95	0.81	0.41	0.7220
6	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.95	0.74	0.37	0.6850

AMD 2022 EPS Contest Scores

2022 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.92	0.83	0.62	0.7895
1	Joe NYC	4	0.82	0.72	0.75	0.7618
2	neolib	4	0.90	0.73	0.65	0.7617
3	Vattila	4	0.87	0.84	0.51	0.7390
4	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.81	0.71	0.69	0.7371
5	rzborusa	4	0.81	0.73	0.56	0.7020
6	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.84	0.75	0.48	0.6925
7	gvatty	2	0.48	0.38	0.30	0.3848
8	fastpathguru	1	0.15	0.10	0.06	0.1038

2022 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.92	0.83	0.62	0.7895
1	gvatty	2	0.95	0.75	0.60	0.7696
2	Joe NYC	4	0.82	0.72	0.75	0.7618
3	neolib	4	0.90	0.73	0.65	0.7617
4	Vattila	4	0.87	0.84	0.51	0.7390
5	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.81	0.71	0.69	0.7371
6	rzborusa	4	0.81	0.73	0.56	0.7020
7	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.84	0.75	0.48	0.6925
8	fastpathguru	1	0.59	0.42	0.24	0.4153

AMD 2021 EPS Contest Scores

2021 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.93	0.86	0.72	0.8397
2	Joe NYC	4	0.94	0.88	0.69	0.8367
3	rzborusa	4	0.95	0.78	0.70	0.8105
4	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.93	0.75	0.75	0.8101
5	gvatty	4	0.93	0.81	0.69	0.8068
6	Vattila	4	0.92	0.77	0.71	0.7966
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.83	0.65	0.53	0.6694
7	neolib	3	0.71	0.66	0.61	0.6614
8	engineer	1	0.24	0.18	0.21	0.2111
9	fastpathguru	1	0.23	0.18	0.15	0.1852
10	eetnoyer	1	0.20	0.17	0.10	0.1556

2021 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	neolib	3	0.95	0.88	0.82	0.8819
2	engineer	1	0.96	0.73	0.84	0.8445
3	Kelvin C.P. Wang	4	0.93	0.86	0.72	0.8397
4	Joe NYC	4	0.94	0.88	0.69	0.8367
5	rzborusa	4	0.95	0.78	0.70	0.8105
6	Pravin Kamdar	4	0.93	0.75	0.75	0.8101
7	gvatty	4	0.93	0.81	0.69	0.8068
8	Vattila	4	0.92	0.77	0.71	0.7966
9	fastpathguru	1	0.92	0.71	0.59	0.7408
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.83	0.65	0.53	0.6694
10	eetnoyer	1	0.78	0.68	0.40	0.6222

AMD 2020 EPS Contest Scores

2020 Full year scores

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Vattila	4	0.95	0.85	0.65	0.8169
2	neolib	4	0.98	0.80	0.61	0.7972
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.94	0.79	0.62	0.7856
3	Pravin Kamdar	3	0.72	0.62	0.50	0.6128
4	rzborusa	3	0.69	0.57	0.47	0.5812
5	Kelvin C.P. Wang	1	0.24	0.23	0.17	0.2150
6	jc474	1	0.23	0.19	0.19	0.2020

2020 Quarterly average

Rank	User	Entries	EPS score	Revenue score	Outlook score	Overall score
1	Kelvin C.P. Wang	1	0.96	0.92	0.69	0.8601
2	Pravin Kamdar	3	0.96	0.83	0.66	0.8171
3	Vattila	4	0.95	0.85	0.65	0.8169
4	jc474	1	0.92	0.74	0.76	0.8080
5	neolib	4	0.98	0.80	0.61	0.7972
-	Zacks Estimate	4	0.94	0.79	0.62	0.7856
6	rzborusa	3	0.93	0.76	0.63	0.7749

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