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Technology Stocks : Apple Inc.
AAPL 278.06-0.2%Dec 11 3:59 PM EST

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To: Eric Yang who wrote (8666)2/20/1998 8:37:00 PM
From: Phillip C. Lee  Read Replies (2) of 213176
 
Eric,

You have done an excellent job on Q2 estimates. I prefer to have the
first one (Est. 1). However, I have rosier estimate as follows based
on:
- Anderson's words (e.g. revenue has been stablized around 1.6b);
- no cloners competition on high-ends;
- first full season G3's sales in Japan along with Macworld/economics
stimulus;
- Currency exchange advantages against the previous quarter;
- cheaper parts (e.g. disk, memory; similar to Dell's) due to Asia's
financial turmoil;
- Motivation by Dell's CEO, Jobs wouldn't be able to swallow the
previous insult. If Dell is excellent, Apple will be even better;
- European booming stock markets will drive Apple's products
sales higher;

Therefore, my estimate is as follows:

- Revenue: 1520m;
- Profit/Loss: 93.4m;
- EPS: $0.73
- Units Sold: 611,600;
- G3%: 56.9% (same as Est. 1, G3's and non-G3's are proportionally
increased);

You can call me crazy, but my dream might be closer to reality. We'll
see in a couple of months.

Phil
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