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Politics : The Donald Trump Presidency
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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (59546)11/26/2024 10:47:50 PM
From: FJB1 Recommendation

Recommended By
GROUND ZERO™

   of 74345
 
Enough data is in to offer our TOP POLLSTER RANKING for the 2024 NATIONAL POPULAR VOTE

Our standard is proximity to the Trump +1.6% winning margin (Trump 49.85% to Harris 48.27% as of Nov 26).

Note: We use how pollsters did in the “multi-candidate” (not head-to-head), and those within 1.0% of the winning margin.

1. Baris/Big Data Poll: Trump +1.7% (off 0.1%)
2. Wall Street Journal: Trump +2.0% (off 0.4%)
3. Atlas Intel: Trump +1.1% (off 0.5%)
4. Activote: Trump +1.0% (off 0.6%)
4. NY Times/Siena: Trump +1.0% (off 0.6%)
6. Rasmussen Reports: Trump +2.4% (off 0.8%)
6. Quantus Insights: Trump +0.8% (off 0.8%)
8. SoCal Strategies: Trump +0.7% (off 0.9%)

Note: Several other pollsters were within 1.5% and 2.0%, which is quite good.
Note: If a pollster only did head-to-head we used that.

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