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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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Harshu Vyas
To: E_K_S who wrote (76649)12/8/2024 8:42:27 AM
From: Madharry1 Recommendation   of 78526
 
. analysts are barely able to accurately predict earnings one year into the future let alone several and on top of that according to you the model uses the same discount irrespective of the predictability of future cash flows. Now I think that future cash flows are becoming less and less predictable because the rate of change around us is increasing and on top of that climate is now increasingly becoming a factor as is the lack of stabliity in geopolitics. we could do an exercise and have each participant pick any company they want and predict what the earnings will be in five years. and then look back and see what the variance is. I was in a store yesterday and I was looking at canned soups and they were selling for $3 to $5 for a small can of soup and I was wondering who was buying that. I certainly did not envision the inflation we are experiencing now 5 years ago .
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