Here is a very recent highly analytical post about PLTR from another site authored by a knowledgable PLTR investor who was responding to a projected end of 2025 price of $135. Just thought it was interesting. FWIW:
Thats probably low- forced buying requirements still can be extended into Q3 of 2026 given the 12-18 month windows for both indexes and the various instruments that have to rebalance, and those entry points will want at least a 2x in the mid to short term.
I expect between 20-100 billion dollars is on the sideline waiting for any iota of negative noise or missed beat and guidance in order to gain entry for shell partnered firms and funds working on gaining positive entry. Theyre really pissed. They cant cool the price action and they cant cook and leverage against the share structure.
Their only real tool right now is noise makers and paid off voices in the uninitiated discourse and low volume.
If the price doesnt rise into the disclosure executions after 1/1/25 the foreseeable short term is a clamp on shares outstanding and the need to reissue disclosure which will undoubtedly be at higher rates of release. The market is low volume and it looks like capitulation so the play has become try and let it cool off and cross your fingers and toes and hope Karp doesnt continue destroying the narrative and somehow someone or something materializes before February earnings that can be spun before BofA, templeton, Buffet, Gates, Musk, ARK, saudi funds, or Sofi start openly buying or announcing revised price targets or partnerships.
The catalysts for palantir are just too numerous at this point if the admin comes in and openly starts pumping it will be a repeat of the bitcoin and silicon america meltup scenario.
If I were your broker I would be encouraging you to sell as many puts as is financially feasible because its basically free premium with the potential to be more shares with the inevitable moonshot approaching.
I could see Anduril scrambling to DPO under this environment that will be a basket catalyst and they can potentially outstrip the majors in MCap before theyve even really cut their teeth. Conversely if I was the CTO of Boeing, Lockheed, Northrop, Raytheon I would be attempting to parlay any security budgets and leverage I could into Palantir considering the nature of warfare and the Military complex moving forward, specifically considering NGAD, LW, rainbow trapeze, joint BAE, and Cheshire projects will undoubtedly be run and burn bagged by palantir OS and ontology. |
