Bonefish, here are the preliminary terms of the ceasefire. Take it with a grain of salt.
If it's a bad deal, there's plenty of time for Trump to convince Net-N-Yahoo to break the deal and resume the war ...
- First stage is 42 days
- Hostage-Prisoner exchange
- Palestinian groups will release 33 Israeli hostages.
- Priority order: female civilians, then female soldiers, then men who are over 50, and men who are infirm. Living hostages first.
- By the end of the phase, all living women, children and older people held by the militants should be freed.
- On the first official day of the ceasefire, Hamas is to free three hostages, then another four on the seventh day. After that, it will make weekly releases in groups.
- Israel will release about 2,000 Palestinian prisoners, including 250 serving life sentences. No prisoners who took part in Oct 7 would be freed. Most are Gazans detained since Oct 7. Need to work out exactly which prisoners will be sent to a third country: all of those life sentences will, but perhaps others as well.
- IDF locations
- Israeli forces will begin to pull back from Gaza’s border with Egypt, known as the Philadelphi Corridor, to withdraw from it completely in later stages. But Israel intends to maintain a buffer zone in Gaza.
- Extent of the Israeli military’s continued presence in the Netzarim Corridor, an east-west passage dividing the enclave, remained unclear
- The Israeli military will withdraw to within 700 metres (2,297 feet) inside Gaza.
- Israel would agree to allow hundreds of thousands of Palestinian civilians who have fled Israel’s bombardment in the south of Gaza to return to their homes in the north as long as unspecified security measures are in place.
- Israel will allow injured people in Gaza to travel to receive medical treatment.
- Israel will open the Rafah crossing with Egypt seven days after the start of the first stage.
Future Stages, which have not been fully agreed to:
- Second stage (days 43-84):
- Other remaining hostages and Israeli soldiers being held captive by Hamas would be released
- Hamas frees remaining male hostages (soldiers and civilians) in exchange for a yet-to-be-negotiated number of Palestinian prisoners
- full withdrawal of Israeli troops from the Gaza Strip
- Bodies of deceased Israeli hostages exchanged for bodies of deceased Palestinian fighters
- Implementation of a reconstruction plan in Gaza
- Border crossings for movement in and out of Gaza are reopened
- Third stage (days 85+): Update: The current deal comprises just two phases and doesn’t include written U.S. guarantees that would prevent Israel from resuming military operations after 42 days.
- Bodies of deceased Israeli hostages exchanged for bodies of deceased Palestinian fighters
- Implementation of a reconstruction plan in Gaza
- Border crossings for movement in and out of Gaza are reopened
Tenchusatsu |