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Technology Stocks : Ciena (CIEN)
CIEN 186.98-2.5%4:00 PM EST
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To: Gary Korn who wrote (1404)2/22/1998 10:00:00 AM
From: Glenn D. Rudolph  Read Replies (1) of 12623
 
Estimates and actuals are both eps before extras and other non-recurring items

DISTRIBUTION OF EPS ESTIMATES
HISTOGRAM AS OF 2/14/98

CIENA CORP
FY1 - 9810 FY2 - 9910
10 ESTS. 6 ESTS.







X X
X O X
O XXOX XXO O X O
!-----!-----!-----!-----! !-----!-----!-----!-----!
1.39 1.44 1.49 1.54 1.59 1.71 1.76 1.81 1.86 1.91
"X" = EPS ESTIMATE ($) "O" = THREE MOST RECENT ESTS.

1/98 QTR: CIENA CORP 4/98 QTR:
EXP.REPT: 2/19/98 EXP.REPT: 5/25/98
O O
O X
X X
X X
XO XO
O XXX O XX
!-----!-----!-----!-----! !-----!-----!-----!-----!
0.32 0.37 0.42 0.47 0.52 0.34 0.39 0.44 0.49 0.54

MEAN 0.35 (10) MEAN 0.36 ( 9)
MOST ACC 0.34 ( 4) MOST ACC 0.36 ( 3)
------------------------------------------------------------




Current EPS Estimates

Period
Ending
Mean Est.
($/SH)
High Est.
($/SH)
Low Est.
($/SH)
Number Ests.
Mean Change, Last Month ($)
Year Ending
10/99
1.75
1.80
1.71
6
0.00
Year Ending
10/98
1.47
1.51
1.39
10
0.00
VS Actual
10/97
1.09




Quarter End
01/98
0.35
0.36
0.32
10
0.00
VS Actual
01/97
N/A




Quarter End
04/98
0.36
0.37
0.34
9
0.00
VS Actual
04/97
0.26




Next 5 Year Growth (%)

39.83
50.00
23.50
9
-3.92

Surprise History

Quarter End
% Surprise
Actual
Estimate
Std Dev
# Analysts
01/98
N/A
N/A
0.35
0.01
10
10/97
6.06
0.35
0.33
0.01
7
07/97
7.84
0.33
0.31
0.02
5

Financial History

Year End
Sales
Net Income
EPS ex NRI
EPS Reported
Dividends
High
Low
1997
373
112
1.09
1.09
N/A
61
29
1996
N/A
N/A
0.15
0.15
N/A
0
N/A
1995
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0
N/A

EPS History

Fiscal Year
1st Q
2nd Q
3rd Q
4th Q
Year
1999
0.32E
0.43E
0.44E
0.50E
1.75E
1998
0.35E
0.36E
0.37E
0.39E
1.47E
1997
N/A
0.26
0.33
0.35
1.09



Company vs Industry


--- EPS Growth Rates ---

Last 5 Yrs Actual (%)
98/97 (%)
99/98 (%)
Nxt 5 Yrs (%)
P/E on 97 EPS
Company
N/A
34.4
19.1
39.8
38.2
Ind: (FIBER OPTICS)
2.9
26.7
20.3
31.9
52.3
(Ind Group #160)





S&P 500
12.6
11.8
7.0
7.1
22.6
Comp VS Ind
N/A
7.7
-1.2
7.9
-14.1
Comp VS S&P
N/A
22.6
12.1
32.7
15.6



Company Ratios: Current vs History


Current
5-Year
Avg
P/E (12 Mo)


Rel P/E


Net Margin
30%

ROE
51.0%

LT Debt/Cap
1%


Company vs Industry Ratios


CIENA CORP
INDUSTRY AVG
S&P 500
Pr Chg YTD
-8%

5%
P/E (12Mo)

19.5
23.2
Price/Book
15.1
7.0
5.8
Price/Sales
14.9


Price/CF
44.5
13.6

Impl Ret/ P/E

1.80

Div Yield
0.0%
0.0%
1.5%
Net Margin
30.2%
-11.5%

ROE
51%
13%
23%
Debt/Cap
1%



* Ranked 2/6 in FIBER OPTICS. FIBER OPTICS Ranked 182/211.

Zacks Company Report was last updated 02/17/98.

Select report for CIEN:








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