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Biotech / Medical : VVUS: VIVUS INC. (NASDAQ)

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To: Robert D who wrote (5587)2/22/1998 2:03:00 PM
From: RT  Read Replies (3) of 23519
 
Robert,

Well today I performed some math on where the REFILL rate should be based on
three assumptions.
1. Vivus adds 10,000 new patients each week.
2. The refill rate is 40 %.
3. Patient has sex once a week..

Here are my numbers:
1 weeks thu 6 000 per week
7 weeks refills = 4,000 per week
13 weeks refills = 8,000 per week
19 weeks refills = 12,000 per week
26 weeks refills = 16,000 per week
32 weeks refills = 20,000 per week
38 weeks refills = 24,000 per week
44 weeks refills = 28,000 per week
50 weeks refills = 32,000 per week
56 weeks refills = 36,000 per week
62 weeks refills = 40,000 per week

As you can see we should have a REFILL rate of approximately 40,000 per week.
Instead we have a refill rate of only 4,800. This is a large discrepancy, and
can only mean one thing, dissatisfaction among muse users..

RT
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