There's already been a huge increase in technology and modeling/forecasting this century it's just not often advertised. There are already several models and likely always will be. AI in its current form of progression seems to be more about gathering big data and let it sort out all of the possible permutations much faster than possible before. There will always be humans involved, imo.
The increase in weather satellites with sophisticated sensors, observational balloons with sensors, buoys in oceans with sensors, etc. all adds more data to collected, collated, and tested. AI speeds up the process by which that is already happening you just likely didn't realize it.
Have you noticed in the past 20 years weather forecasts are increasingly accurate 2-3 days out? Of course I don't mean the blizzard of the century or some hurricane or tornado rolling through because the variance of large storm systems can be wide. Even 7 days out in normal conditions the forecasts now are much more accurate than they were 20-30 years ago let alone 50 years ago. AI could take, say, an 80% accuracy rate out to 7 days, then 10 days, then whatever. What's even more fascinating is the idea of increasingly localized accurate weather reports, say highly accurate to zip codes. At the very least that has profound implications for commercial, civil, and military aviation.
One of the startups I read about but couldn't find link, maybe was some Stanford guys mostly using multiple smaller weather balloons with various sensors at various altitudes. You know, like that single large high altitude Chinese spy balloon that loitered over military bases that Team Dementia Joe Biden said wasn't an issue? Anyway, more sensors, more data, more modeling. AI can do that better and faster but the inputs and modeling will be by humans. This isn't necessarily the same as some of the AGW crowd that have been shown to "fudge" their data. Maybe the fudging crowd will still be able to manipulate their data if not called to account but as long as all data is open source I am not too worried for now. haha. |
