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Technology Stocks : AMD, ARMH, INTC, NVDA

AMD 250.10 -3.7% Nov 4 3:59 PM EST

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To: Vattila who wrote (60061) 2/4/2025 6:05:12 PM From: Vattila Read Replies (3) of 72116   AMD 2024-Q4 EPS Contest (non-GAAP) — Results Reported Results: $1.09 $7.66B $7.10B ± 0.30B Rank User EPS Revenue Outlook 1 Pravin Kamdar $1.10 $7.60B $7.60B 2 Kelvin C.P. Wang $1.10 $7.75B $7.90B 3 neolib $1.08 $7.55B $7.10B - Zacks Estimate $1.07 $7.52B $7.01B 4 Joe NYC $1.11 $7.85B $7.00B 5 Vattila $1.13 $7.80B $8.30B - Bing Copilot $1.05 $7.30B $7.20B 6 rzborusa $1.15 $7.80B $7.70B 7 TGPTNDR $1.15 $7.80B $8.00B Congratulations to Pravin for getting the second win in a row! It was very close though, just beating Kelvin and Neolib on the revenue tie-breaker. Arguably, Neolib could have won on EPS if we included more decimals in the calculation, but by contest rules we round to two decimals before the ranking. Neolib did score best overall with an excellent 0.9306, way ahead of the rest. Congratulations to all three for beating Zacks! On the full-year scoreboard, Joe secures the top spot, beating Zacks as well as his full-year personal best. Congratulations! Interestingly, except for Joe and Neolib, AI beat the rest of us for the full year! Thanks to all for playing! --- Scoreboards Note that, unlike the main EPS Contest, which is primarily ranked by EPS, these boards are ranked by overall score, which is an equally weighted average of subscores. Scores are calculated as (1+error)^-2 per quarter and normalized for the year by sum(scores)/4. The squaring of the denominator in the score calculation is just done to spread out the scores a little. There is no explicit relative weighting of EPS and revenue error, i.e. a 1 cent error in EPS equals a $10M error in revenue. AMD 2024 EPS Contest Scores 2024 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.85 0.86 0.8830 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.97 0.82 0.86 0.8810 2 neolib 4 0.98 0.88 0.78 0.8798 - Bing Copilot 4 0.95 0.80 0.78 0.8447 3 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.97 0.85 0.72 0.8439 4 rzborusa 4 0.94 0.87 0.68 0.8315 5 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.97 0.87 0.55 0.7973 6 Vattila 4 0.94 0.86 0.56 0.7890 2024 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.85 0.86 0.8830 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.97 0.82 0.86 0.8810 2 neolib 4 0.98 0.88 0.78 0.8798 - Bing Copilot 4 0.95 0.80 0.78 0.8447 3 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.97 0.85 0.72 0.8439 4 rzborusa 4 0.94 0.87 0.68 0.8315 5 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.97 0.87 0.55 0.7973 6 Vattila 4 0.94 0.86 0.56 0.7890 7 TGPTNDR 1 0.89 0.77 0.28 0.6455 AMD 2023 EPS Contest Scores 2023 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.97 0.89 0.66 0.8390 1 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.94 0.88 0.56 0.7938 2 Vattila 4 0.98 0.89 0.46 0.7759 3 neolib 4 0.96 0.80 0.56 0.7735 - Bing Chat 4 0.94 0.83 0.47 0.7457 4 Joe NYC 4 0.95 0.80 0.46 0.7375 5 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.81 0.41 0.7220 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.95 0.74 0.37 0.6850 AMD 2022 EPS Contest Scores 2022 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.92 0.83 0.62 0.7895 1 Joe NYC 4 0.82 0.72 0.75 0.7618 2 neolib 4 0.90 0.73 0.65 0.7617 3 Vattila 4 0.87 0.84 0.51 0.7390 4 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.81 0.71 0.69 0.7371 5 rzborusa 4 0.81 0.73 0.56 0.7020 6 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.84 0.75 0.48 0.6925 7 gvatty 2 0.48 0.38 0.30 0.3848 8 fastpathguru 1 0.15 0.10 0.06 0.1038 2022 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score - Zacks Estimate 4 0.92 0.83 0.62 0.7895 1 gvatty 2 0.95 0.75 0.60 0.7696 2 Joe NYC 4 0.82 0.72 0.75 0.7618 3 neolib 4 0.90 0.73 0.65 0.7617 4 Vattila 4 0.87 0.84 0.51 0.7390 5 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.81 0.71 0.69 0.7371 6 rzborusa 4 0.81 0.73 0.56 0.7020 7 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.84 0.75 0.48 0.6925 8 fastpathguru 1 0.59 0.42 0.24 0.4153 AMD 2021 EPS Contest Scores 2021 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.93 0.86 0.72 0.8397 2 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.88 0.69 0.8367 3 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.78 0.70 0.8105 4 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.93 0.75 0.75 0.8101 5 gvatty 4 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.8068 6 Vattila 4 0.92 0.77 0.71 0.7966 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.83 0.65 0.53 0.6694 7 neolib 3 0.71 0.66 0.61 0.6614 8 engineer 1 0.24 0.18 0.21 0.2111 9 fastpathguru 1 0.23 0.18 0.15 0.1852 10 eetnoyer 1 0.20 0.17 0.10 0.1556 2021 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 neolib 3 0.95 0.88 0.82 0.8819 2 engineer 1 0.96 0.73 0.84 0.8445 3 Kelvin C.P. Wang 4 0.93 0.86 0.72 0.8397 4 Joe NYC 4 0.94 0.88 0.69 0.8367 5 rzborusa 4 0.95 0.78 0.70 0.8105 6 Pravin Kamdar 4 0.93 0.75 0.75 0.8101 7 gvatty 4 0.93 0.81 0.69 0.8068 8 Vattila 4 0.92 0.77 0.71 0.7966 9 fastpathguru 1 0.92 0.71 0.59 0.7408 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.83 0.65 0.53 0.6694 10 eetnoyer 1 0.78 0.68 0.40 0.6222 AMD 2020 EPS Contest Scores 2020 Full year scores Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169 2 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856 3 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.72 0.62 0.50 0.6128 4 rzborusa 3 0.69 0.57 0.47 0.5812 5 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.24 0.23 0.17 0.2150 6 jc474 1 0.23 0.19 0.19 0.2020 2020 Quarterly average Rank User Entries EPS score Revenue score Outlook score Overall score 1 Kelvin C.P. Wang 1 0.96 0.92 0.69 0.8601 2 Pravin Kamdar 3 0.96 0.83 0.66 0.8171 3 Vattila 4 0.95 0.85 0.65 0.8169 4 jc474 1 0.92 0.74 0.76 0.8080 5 neolib 4 0.98 0.80 0.61 0.7972 - Zacks Estimate 4 0.94 0.79 0.62 0.7856 6 rzborusa 3 0.93 0.76 0.63 0.7749

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