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Tesla (TSLA) accounting raises red flags as report shows $1.4 billion missing

Fred Lambert | Mar 19 2025 - 10:53 am PT
77 Comments

Tesla’s (TSLA) accounting practices are raising red flags as a new report from the Financial Times shows that $1.4 billion is missing.

Many Tesla shorts and detractors have questioned Tesla’s accounting for years, but they have never gained much traction – until now.

Today, the Financial Times has released a new report

Compare Tesla’s capital expenditure in the last six months of 2024 to its valuation of the assets that money was spent on, and $1.4bn appears to have gone astray.

The article points out that Tesla reports having spent $6.3 billion on “purchases of property and equipment excluding finance leases, net of sales” in the second half of 2024, while property, plant, and equipment rose by only $4.9 billion in that period.

Accounting experts agree that, in most cases, the capex number matches closely to the increase in gross PP&E, but some factors can make a difference: sales or impairments of assets, foreign exchange, etc.

However, Tesla didn’t report any significant enough change in the usual suspects to justify the difference.

The report also points to other red flags, like Tesla claiming to sit on $37 billion in cash and yet it raised $6 billion in new debt last year.

While it’s not unusual for companies with significant cash piles to raise debts, it’s less than ideal in this current environment.

Finally, the FT report also points to Tesla not offering share buyback or dividend despite claiming a $15 billion operating cash flow last year, higher than its CAPEX. This is rare for large companies and puts Tesla in a very small club that includes other companies like Temu.

Jacek Welc, professor of corporate finance at the SRH Berlin University of Applied Sciences, compares these red flags to recent financial scandals, like Wirecard, Longtop Financial Technologies, and NMC Health.

Electrek’s Take
Top comment by BCV Liked by 11 people
I've been paying attention to the Capex number for the past few quarters with increasing concern, but I hadn't picked up on this.

Tesla's Capex is inline with growth WAY outside of what they've been producing. Most of this goes to depreciation in the cost-of-sales overhead allocation.

Tesla's 2024 Capex pretty much guarantee roughly 1 percentage point of gross margin compression in 2025 that in addition to any impacts from pricing, tariffs, and lower sales volume. The compounding impacts of this means Tesla's gross margins will converge with the rest of the industry over the next few years. They don't deserve a valuation premium for margins anymore.

The big Capex/Asset gap should have been explained in their financial reporting, but I'm not surprised if they didn't (I admit I haven't read it myself). Something of this size isn't FX related. FX is mostly a rounding error on fixed assets. You might see a couple percentage point moves in a quarter, but it's rarely material.

Asset impairment is the most likely cause. My guess is that they had to write down the value of the Cybertruck line or maybe their solar business, and are hiding that from shareholders. While this would be really bad from a PR perspective, it would actually mean their 2024 financials weren't as bad as we had assumed. It means that ~$1.5B of their profit reduction was a hidden asset impairment.

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I have some experience in financial accounting, having learned the basics from the excellent Brian Bushee at Wharton, but I never felt that I was knowledgeable enough to make such an accusation against Tesla.

Shady accounting at Tesla is something people have been pointing out for years, but it’s the first time I’ve seen it getting traction from a major financial outlet like the Financial Times.

This is likely going to put pressure on Tesla and its auditors.

However, for those hoping for Tesla to get in hot water for cooking the books, I would remain careful. Not only could there be explanations for this, but with Trump and Musk kneecapping the SEC, repercussions are unlikely.

Tesla (TSLA) accounting raises red flags as report shows $1.4 billion missing | Electrek
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