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Biotech / Medical : VVUS: VIVUS INC. (NASDAQ)

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To: RT who wrote (5595)2/23/1998 2:30:00 PM
From: LoLoLoLita  Read Replies (2) of 23519
 
>>As you can see we should have a REFILL rate of approximately
>>40,000 per week. Instead we have a refill rate of only 4,800.
>>This is a large discrepancy, and can only mean
>>one thing, dissatisfaction among muse users.

RT,

I'm sorry but I have to butt in here a little late.

You (and many others) are reading WAY too much into this weekly scrip
data. The reason is that what is called a "new" scrip is COMPLETELY
indistinguishable from (1) scrips to wholly new MUSE users (MUSE
virgins); (2) previous MUSE users who have used up their allowed
refills and gone back to a doctor (maybe a different doctor!) to
get a new scrip; and (3) previous MUSE users who haven't used up their refills but want to switch pharmacies (maybe trying mail order),
and who also went back for a "new" scrip.

The data just does not have the level of detail needed to
do what you are trying to do: namely, estimate the level of satisfaction of MUSE users.

Regards,

David
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