US Emerges as Biggest Loser in Markets From Trump’s Tariffs
By Richard Henderson and Sagarika Jaisinghani
April 3, 2025 at 2:28 AM EDT
Updated on April 3, 2025 at 6:43 AM EDT
President Donald Trump’s shake-up of the global trading system is hurting US assets more than those in many of the big economies he has just slapped with additional tariffs.
US equity index futures tumbled more than 4% after Trump announced a sweeping series of tariffs following the market close on Wednesday, and a gauge of the dollar slumped. But the impact elsewhere was less extreme. The Stoxx Europe 600 was down 1.9%, while the euro was up 2.2% against the dollar, hitting its highest level since October. A broad gauge of Asian stocks fell as much as 1.7%.
The widespread selloff in global markets makes clear that investors don’t expect any winners from the latest — and by the far the largest — salvo in a growing trade war. But they also suggest the US itself might be one of the biggest victims of Trump’s protectionist policies.
“Global asset allocators will be looking at the US in a very different way,” Neil Birrell, chief investment officer at Premier Miton Investors, said by phone. “Would international investors sell the US as a result of this and start moving money? Yes, they probably will.”
Overall, the dollar headed for its worst day in over two years, as traders prepared for the economic impact. The Japanese yen gained 1.9% against the greenback, and Treasury 10-year yields hit their lowest level since October, further weighing on the greenback.
“The aggravation of US growth concerns on the tariff news and related further falls in US stocks has meant that the dollar isn’t enjoying its traditional safe-haven, reserve currency status support,” said Ray Attrill, head of foreign-exchange strategy at National Australia Bank Ltd.
The tariff announcement has put more pressure on a US stock market that had already floundered this year, as investors braced for Trump’s policies to stir up inflation and raise the odds of a recession in the world’s largest economy. The S&P 500 was down 3.6% this year before the tariff announcement, while the Nasdaq 100 had shed about 7%. The Magnificent Seven tech stocks have also tumbled. By contrast, Germany’s DAX is up 10% in 2025.
“We aren’t buying the dip in the US,” said Aneeka Gupta, head of macroeconomic research at Wisdom Tree UK Ltd. “Investors are turning toward income as a source of refuge in these times of uncertainty as they wait and watch how countries essentially come back with their countermeasures.”
— With assistance from Masaki Kondo and Cormac Mullen
(Updates prices, adds quote in last paragraph.)
bloomberg.com |
