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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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To: Grommit who wrote (77370)4/5/2025 10:32:29 PM
From: Spekulatius2 Recommendations

Recommended By
Lance Bredvold
S. maltophilia

  Read Replies (1) of 78463
 
The tariff formula is designed to balance the trade with each country individually. That is why poor countries that can’t really afford fairly expensive US goods but export cheap garments and similar stuff it the US are hit the hardest with the highest tariff rates.

Also peeps found out that the forums was applied incorrectly compared to the paper that they are based on, but that does really matter in the grinder scheme of things, since the whole basic thinking is sort of messed up.

i think a lot of retailer will go bankrupt become consumers will just get sticker shock and not buy for a while. Durable goods for a while holding out to wait until these tariffs go away potentially.

So furniture, cars (except repair), anything related to home renovation , consumer electronics etc will be put on hold for while, maybe a year or longer. Thats long enough to put any smaller retail business out of business. The large ones like TGT, WMT, AMZN will take a hit but they will survive.

The next 24 month could be very interring. The last time the US raised tariff that much was in 1930 (Smoot Hanley) and it caused a death spiral in trade and significantly contributed to the Great Depression.
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