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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 386.01+1.6%Nov 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: bull_dozer who wrote (214137)5/5/2025 10:15:39 PM
From: TobagoJack   of 217735
 
Following up to Message 35126060
.. in continuing effort to better understand in objective fashion that is devoid of bias, I asked DeepSeek, and not ChatGPT, because DeepSeek is free and open-source, and good-enough for spending all of 38 seconds
what would be the narrative that explains the simultaneous (1) decline of US bonds, (2) decline of US equities, (3) decline of USD, (4) rise of gold, and (5) rise of HK-listed China tech shares
Synthesis: A Perfect Storm of Policy and SentimentThe interplay of aggressive US tariffs, fading confidence in US economic stability, and China’s tech-driven growth created a self-reinforcing cycle. Investors pivoted from USD-denominated assets to gold and non-US equities, while rising yields and inflation fears accelerated the bond sell-off. This narrative underscores how geopolitical and policy shifts can rapidly reshape global capital flows, privileging diversification and alternative havens like gold and innovation-driven markets.

For further details, refer to the sources cited in each section.
... I asked DeepSeek, and seems we are good to go
is above in fact happening, that being the simultaneous (1) decline of US bonds, (2) decline of US equities, (3) decline of USD, (4) rise of gold, and (5) rise of HK-listed China tech shares
... Synthesis of Drivers
The interconnected trends stem from aggressive US trade policies (e.g., 34–104% tariffs on China), which triggered:
Stagflation Risks: Higher import costs and inflation, coupled with slowing growth, eroded confidence in US assets 711.
Global Capital Rotation: Investors diversified into gold and non-US equities (e.g., Europe, China) amid fears of a structural US deficit crisis and de-dollarization 810.
Geopolitical Realignment: China’s market stabilization measures and AI advancements contrasted with US policy chaos, attracting capital to Hong Kong tech shares 56.
These dynamics underscore a broader loss of confidence in US economic exceptionalism, with markets pricing in long-term risks from unpredictable fiscal and trade policies. For now, the trends appear self-reinforcing, though easing trade tensions (as hinted in recent China-US talks) could moderate them 10.
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