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Technology Stocks : WavePhore (WAVO)- VBI fed WaveTop for WebTV

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To: AJ Berger who wrote (911)2/24/1998 12:50:00 PM
From: AJ Berger   of 2843
 
Opps... WebTV is Owned by MSFT now!

I kinda forgot about that. Hmmmm
I guess that means that while before,
we thought WAVO would get a free ride
on Window'98 marketing coat tails, as
WaveTop would help Windows'98 sales by
being portrayed as a "killer" application.
It now seems WAVO will have to share some
of it's Ad revenue with MicroSoft for
including WaveTop in the WebTV for
Windows packaging. I guess the greater
penetration potential of WaveTop with
WebTV marketed by MicroSoft, far out-
weights the alledged ad revenue sharing
agreement I'm certain WavePhore had to sign
in order to be a part of that bundle. I
suppose if all goes well with this new
medium, that MicroSoft if further likely
to simply Buyout WavePhore like they did
WebTV. Unfortunautly, we're already at
a pretty rich valuation, so there may not
be much premium here that MSFT would be
willing to pay for WAVO above it's current
trading range. I suppose when we see
$16 by this July (my forcast) they'll be
more profit takers than new investors if
MicroSoft has not made noises about buying
WAVO by then...

Further concerns here is that with MicroSoft's
own VBI related patented technologies already
mentioned, and MSNBC available in most cableTV
markets, WaveTop using PBS for VBI signal input
will become a lot less important to MicroSoft
and WebTV expecially when they start coming
out with Windows CE based Set Top Cable Boxes.
The longer term prospects for WAVO certainly do
look muddier unless MSFT eventually buys them.

I also wonder how much Ad referral's may be
going WAVO's way FROM MicroSoft's existing
Ad base from all their content providing mediums.
I bet MSFT get's a piece of that pie too. Gosh
I hope there's gonna be enough left for WAVO
to actually get back into the Black this year.
I guess that won't really matter if MSFT buys
WAVO, however even WebTV had to show a good
quarter before MSFT gobbled them up.
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