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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs

SPY 681.76

-1.1%

Dec 12 4:00 PM EST

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To: E_K_S who wrote (64138)

6/27/2025 11:48:44 AM

From: Johnny Canuck

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We are definitely back to risk on. As I have been talking about, the market could potential make a new high before a sustained sell off. The sell off trigger will probably be the first Fed rate cut, though the exact timing is often sometime after the cut. The Fed is usually late and cuts when the economy is already in a recession. We had the first rate cut in September of 2024. A recession usually happens 6 to 18 months after the first rate cut after a sustained period of tightening. We are at 9 months right now.

The timing model I posted says the first half of 2026.

October is usually a weak month so it may start then. There is a big window right now starting in July/August. I believe some traders have a cut predicted in July. .

That is the rough trading scenario for the next few month. I am tightening stop losses and let them take me out as opposed to active selling in advance. NVDA for example could go to 175 before we see a sustained pullback.

>>>>>>>>>>>>

Perplexity.ai response:

What is the average P/E of the SP500 today?

What is the average P/E of the SP500 today?

Answer

Sources
·10

Steps

Gurufocus

S&P 500 PE Ratio Charts, Data - GuruFocus

World PE Ratio

S&P 500 Index: current P/E Ratio - World PE Ratio

Multpl

S&P 500 PE Ratio - Multpl

YCharts

S&P 500 P/E Ratio (I:SP500PER) - YCharts

Current Average P/E Ratio of the S&P 500As of late June 2025, the average price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of the S&P 500 is reported in a range between approximately 25 and 29, depending on the data source and calculation method:

GuruFocus reports a P/E ratio of 27.76 as of June 23, 2025 1.
World PE Ratio estimates the P/E at 25.18 as of June 27, 2025 2.
Multpl lists the P/E ratio at 29.26 as of June 26, 2025 3.
YCharts shows the most recent official quarterly figure (December 2024) as 27.99 4.
Advisor Perspectives (dshort) gives a trailing twelve months (TTM) P/E of 26.4 as of May 2025 5.

Summary Table

SourceDateS&P 500 P/E Ratio<tbody]

gurufocus<="" td=""]	june="" 23,="" 2025<="" td=""]	27.76<="" td=""]
world="" pe="" ratio<="" td=""]	june="" 27,="" 2025<="" td=""]	25.18<="" td=""]
multpl<="" td=""]	june="" 26,="" 2025<="" td=""]	29.26<="" td=""]
ycharts<="" td=""]	dec="" 31,="" 2024<="" td=""]	27.99<="" td=""]
advisor="" perspectives<="" td=""]	may="" 2025<="" td=""]	26.4<="" td=""]

Interpretation

The current average P/E ratio of the S&P 500 is approximately 27–28 based on the most recent and widely cited sources 4 1 3.
This level is above the long-term historical average (typically around 16–18), suggesting that the S&P 500 is trading at a premium compared to historical norms 5 1 3.
The variation in reported P/E ratios is due to differences in calculation methods (e.g., trailing twelve months, forward estimates, or ETF proxies), but all sources indicate a relatively high valuation by historical standards.

ConclusionThe average P/E ratio of the S&P 500 today is approximately 27–28, reflecting a market that is valued above its long-term average 4 1 3.

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