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Technology Stocks : Citrix Systems (CTXS)
CTXS 103.900.0%Nov 2 5:00 PM EST

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To: cardiologist to be who wrote (5067)2/24/1998 4:29:00 PM
From: Al Chechatka  Read Replies (1) of 9068
 
I think much of what we are seeing is profit taking from people
who got into CTXS a year ago right before the fall. Remember there
was a selloff in late Dec '96 - Early '97 (before the Microsoft rumor
and turmoil) I am sure much of that was simple profit taking.
We may be in for some turbulent times as far as price for the next
three months (people cashing out when they bought the stock at $6.50
to $10 a share).
Friday is the one year anniversary of the Citrix Crash. 22.5 million shares (split adjusted) traded that day alone. Some of those
people will take profits.
For the momentum player, sell short(write) the SEPT 43 5/8's Put.
They are currently selling for 8 1/4. And with that cash buy the
Sept 43 5/8's Call (which is currently 7 1/4). Remember each contract
has 150 shares, due to the split. So if you sell one contract of the
naked puts, you have to have $6534 in cash in your account. What is
nice about this is if this downward move is profit taking, it has
2 earning cycles to ramp up for. The beauty of these is if the stock
stays flat for the next 2 months, both the call and put will go down
in price. Any upward movement, the put goes down (good you sold that
short) and the call goes up. Remember you don't have to wait until
Sept to close your positions.
I've been doing that for months with great results. The worse case
scenario, is they put the stock to you at 43 5/8's in Sept...and that
is practically what you are buying them for today (Unfortunately, the
40's aren't there yet, maybe they will be tommarow after today's run
at 40).
I personally am waiting until Friday to see what happens on the
anniversary of the crash date. And the anniversary date could be a
psychological test, especially with the pricing of the new products
not hashed out yet and the uncertainty of Microsoft's t-share product.
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