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Politics : The Exxon Free Environmental Thread

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From: Wharf Rat	7/19/2025 11:01:37 AM
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Climate Narrative Under Scrutiny as Scientists Reevaluate the Data Story by Jeff Blaumberg •4h Record-Breaking Heat That Defies Scientific Explanation©flickr The year 2024 has left climate scientists genuinely puzzled. The year is closing out with more global temperature records that, in aggregate, largely defy what many climate scientists expected for 2024. Among the potential factors driving this year's — as well as 2023's — record warmth is the unsettling possibility that global warming is accelerating and the planet's climate behaving differently than expected. At the end of a Dec. 10 session on the causes of the 2023 and 2024 warming spike, NASA climate scientist Gavin Schmidt asked for a show of hands from those attending the year's largest climate science conference. Only a smattering went up when Schmidt asked them to agree with the statement: "We have understood the anomalies in '23 and '24 with all of the information that has been presented here and that exists elsewhere." Instead, the overwhelming majority backed the position that a sufficient explanation hasn't been offered and more research is needed. 2024 saw unprecedented global temperatures, following on from the remarkable warmth of 2023. It also became the first year with an average temperature clearly exceeding 1.5°C above the pre-industrial level – a threshold set by the Paris Agreement to significantly reduce the risks and impacts of climate change. What makes these numbers particularly striking is that they're happening faster than many models predicted. What's making this heat wave so baffling is that scientists can't fully explain why it's happening. But in other respects, the heat was surprising, because it was even more extreme than he and many other scientists expected and models had predicted. Think about that for a moment—climate scientists, who've been studying this for decades, are genuinely shocked by how hot it's getting.

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