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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs
SPY 679.96-1.1%Oct 30 4:00 PM EDT
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To: Johnny Canuck who wrote (64701)7/23/2025 3:29:54 AM
From: Johnny Canuck  Read Replies (1) of 67408
 
Benchmark small-cap index is approaching its first ‘golden cross’ in 18 months. Here’s what history shows will come next.

You said:

Summarize key points of this article: marketwatch.com

ChatGPT said:

Here are the key insights from the article on the approaching “golden cross” in the small-cap benchmark index:

?? 1. Technical Breakout — Golden Cross Nearing ?? 2. Historical Signal of Gains ?? 3. Bulls Cautious — Rally Might Be Fleeting
  • Strategists warn the momentum may be short-lived. Large-cap stocks remain stronger, better able to weather inflation, tariffs, and higher rates MarketWatch.

  • Nanette Abuhoff Jacobson (Hartford Funds) describes the rally as likely “temporary” X (formerly Twitter)+3MarketWatch+3MarketWatch+3.

?? 4. Economic Headwinds
  • Small-caps are more sensitive to factors like inflation, tariffs, and economic slowdowns — pressures firmly in play.

  • A front-loaded impact from previous tariffs hit small businesses hard MarketWatch+7MarketWatch+7MarketWatch+7.

?? 5. Rotation from Tech to Cyclicals
  • Investors are rotating from expensive megacap tech into more cyclical sectors—materials (+3.9%), consumer discretionary (+3.7%), and industrials (+2.3%) in July MarketWatch.

?? 6. Fed Policy Is Key
  • The sustainability of the small-cap rally hinges on Federal Reserve rate cuts.

  • Markets price in only about two 25-basis-point cuts by year-end, likely keeping rates relatively high MarketWatch.

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