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Strategies & Market Trends : Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends

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From: bob_o7/29/2025 4:47:03 PM
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humble1
rdkflorida2

   of 41014
 
Talk about of fun with math...
If this morning’s high on the S&P holds (6409.26), we can project a potential date for a significant low by including the fractions of the trading days in the date values used in Excel. (Sounds anal, I know, but if it works...) The analysis also includes a golden ratio factor:

2/19/25 14:55 PM (Est.) = 45707.834
7/29/25 9:31 AM = 45867.003
45707.834 --> 45867.003 = 159.169 CD
phi^2 = 0.618034^2 = 0.381958
159.169 CD * 0.381958 = 60.796 CD
45867.003 + 60.796 CD = 45927.798 = 9/27/25 (for perfection, between 2:00 & 2:30 PM)

7/28/25 was the date tied to the 11/6/87 high in my 1987 analogy (off by 1 trading minute?). That’s what prompted me to try including fractions of days in this analysis. Also, 9/27/25 happens to be the date tied to the 12/4/87 low.

Maybe it will just end up being fun with math. But if a decline from this morning’s high picks up steam (tied to an increase in concerns over war?), it could be something to keep an eye on.
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