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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting
QCOM 175.07+2.6%3:59 PM EST

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To: waitwatchwander who wrote (195057)8/2/2025 10:51:35 PM
From: voop1 Recommendation

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Lance Bredvold

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chatgpt.com

Here’s what current coverage and analyst commentary reveal:

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?? Revenue from Apple modem chip sales to Qualcomm

Apple and Qualcomm extended their modem chip supply agreement through March 2027, meaning Qualcomm continues to supply Apple with cellular modem chips until then—including fiscal year 2026 .

Qualcomm historically earned about $5.7 to $5.9 billion annually from supplying modem chips to Apple (iPhones) under that agreement .

Analysts, such as those at WCCFTech, expect Apple to transition away from Qualcomm gradually: ˜?70% of iPhones using Qualcomm modems in 2025, dropping to ~20% in 2026, and reaching zero use by 2027 .

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?? Projection for fiscal 2026 and 2027

Using the above mix assumptions:

Fiscal 2026: Apple would still use Qualcomm modems in an estimated 20% of iPhones. If annual Apple-modem revenue is ~$5.8?B:

Projected Qualcomm revenue from Apple in FY?2026 ˜ 20% × $5.8?B ˜ $1.2?billion.

Fiscal 2027 and beyond: Apple is expected to rely entirely on its own modems, so projected Qualcomm revenue from Apple drops to $0 in FY?2027 .

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? Summary Table

Fiscal Year Projected Revenue from Apple Modem Chip Sales

FY?2026 Approximately $1.2?billion
FY?2027 $0

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?? Notes & context

These projections assume historical revenue base of ~$5.8 B and linear decline from 70% to 0% share between 2025 and 2027.

Qualcomm itself has stated that it expects no revenue from Apple after 2027 .

Exact future figures may vary depending on iPhone sales volume, average selling price of modems, and timing of Apple’s internal transition.

Qualcomm’s broader strategy is shifting toward expanding its chip business in automotive, IoT, PCs, and data center technologies to compensate for this loss .

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