| | | “In about 6 or 7 years, there will be days where Starship launches more than 24 times in 24 hours,” according to a recent social media post from the SpaceX CEO, who continued: “24/day would be peak. Sustained is more like ~10/day.” In the case of Mars, the launch window of every two years puts a sharp finite limit on what can be done and win. So, a miss automatically means a two year miss.
Adhering to forecasts is pretty essential. Projections have a different meaning and purpose. Predictions convey less information than either because they are just created from thin air.
I really like predictions from Musk, because he is a dreamer and no matter how wild it is, he'll say it, because he's thinking about how one could do it.
He catches a lot of crap about objectives not being met, however, they mostly are, even if late. In this case, late is at least two years late, and if not then, four or beyond.
Hopefully, the launch operations start consistently going more smoothly. |
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