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Pastimes : Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking
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From: Ron9/10/2025 9:21:25 AM
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On this unusual season, so far: the bulk of this season’s hurricane activity may occur late and linger longer.
... we'll see.

It’s important to remember that hurricane season is a marathon, not a sprint. Months still remain before the season ends after Nov. 30.

Forecasters are closely watching a tropical cluster of clouds and thunderstorms that typically tracks around the planet every 30 to 60 days called the Madden-Julian Oscillation.

It’s like an energy drink for storms, sparking conditions that are more conducive to their formation, such as rising air and towering thunderstorms, more moisture and spin in the lower levels of the atmosphere.

This storm spark plug is currently located in the Pacific Ocean but is predicted to reach the Atlantic in late September into October — potentially providing some of the season’s most prime conditions for hurricane formation in a few weeks.

Defense Department meteorologist Eric Webb said in a message that he thinks the period from late September through about early to mid-October is when hurricane-forming factors will intersect most comprehensively in the Atlantic, raising the risk of storms.

From late September into October, fewer storms emerge from Africa as the monsoon season there begins to wane.

Instead, hurricane tracks begin to favor the western part of the basin, such as the Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico, because it’s the focal point of ocean heat — which is currently above-average.

washingtonpost.com

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