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Strategies & Market Trends : 2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
GLD 368.29+0.6%4:00 PM EST
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bull_dozer
Pogeu Mahone
To: bull_dozer who wrote (216573)9/14/2025 9:52:33 PM
From: Box-By-The-Riviera™2 Recommendations   of 217564
 
explorers and such are, when a bull leg is forming, absolutely tail risk stocks.. aka high risk. but when they perform, the correct ones, they go from 10 cents to 1.00 dollar and higher depending. the biggest problem is they have to survive the time it takes for higher gold prices to appear and all the pitfalls along the way.. aka simply running out of funding and going BK. but the wager is, more of them will go crazy than the few that die, more than making up for any of those losses. those wagers were least invested with potential for highest possible returns.. compared to the majors and sub majors etc etc etc.

in my case more than I like have disappeared during the unusual pause we have had in this bull leg lasting some two years etc of sideways movement. they didn't survive. but over all, those tail risk wagers have not killed the portfolio in anyway. they simply did not enhance it per se. but that may change. we shall see.

Of course had I known how this leg was going to play, I might have taken a different approach. but the future in a market down to share holding is not a vacation hobby to begin with let alone the gold sector etc.

Heinz was a tail risk guy. he loved tail risk bets like gamblers love going to the horse track.

It worked for me the first two legs. I would never structure again that way unless I really thought an all odds against horse had a chance of beating the odds. I have a couple left that may well do it. only time will tell.

it would only take one to blast the portfolio as if none of the others ever existed. and i'm positioned if that's so.

and if it doesn't happen, all else is solid. in terms of the long term macro outlook and the rest.

but.. USA is confiscating 10 percent of Intel. Hmm. fuckers can do whatever they fucking want it seems.

we shall see.
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