What is the mortality rate for the covid vaccine? Among 6,688,231 individuals who received COVID-19 vaccination, 55 deaths were reported as of January 8, 2021. The mortality rate of COVID-19 vaccination was 8.2 per million population (Table 1). A total of 37 deaths were reported in long-term care facilities when 693,246 residents are vaccinated.
What is the mortality rate for the unvaccinated covid population?
Key findings and statistics
- Significantly higher risk: In almost every study, unvaccinated individuals faced a substantially greater risk of death from COVID-19 compared to vaccinated people in the same age group. For example, a meta-analysis found that unvaccinated patients were 2.46 times more likely to die from COVID-19 than vaccinated patients.
- Risk ratio comparison: In early 2023, CDC data from the Omicron BA.4/BA.5 period showed that unvaccinated people were 15.2 times more likely to die from COVID-19 than those who received an updated bivalent booster. Earlier in the pandemic during the Delta variant period, the risk ratio was even higher, at 50.7.
- Differences by variant: A study in Canada revealed how the risk changed with different variants. Unvaccinated people were:
- During the Delta wave: 17.5 times more likely to die compared to vaccinated people.
- During the Omicron wave: 11.3 times more likely to die.
- Age-adjusted rates: The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has published age-adjusted data to provide a fairer comparison by removing the confounding effect of age. For adults over 65, unvaccinated individuals consistently had higher mortality rates than those who received the bivalent booster, although the mortality risk for both groups decreased over time.
- Fluctuating population demographics: Over time, the demographics of the unvaccinated population shifted. The vaccinated group eventually included a larger portion of the elderly and medically vulnerable, leading to more vaccinated people dying in later stages of the pandemic. However, once age was accounted for, the risk for unvaccinated people remained consistently higher.
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