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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Madharry who wrote (78129)9/20/2025 3:31:24 PM
From: E_K_S1 Recommendation

Recommended By
roguedolphin

  Read Replies (1) of 78462
 
Re: Hard Assets to battel the falling $US

I too am moving into hard assets w/ the goal of hedging a falling DXY ($US) which includes undervalued companies based on their DCF valuation; Gold/Silver and Jr. miners; and buying a basket of Foreign stocks that have little to no exposure to $US, generate growing FCF which include Foreign miners.

Specific Buys last week include:

Vanguard Global Capital Cycles Fund Investor Sha (VGPMX)

Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fd Admi (VTIAX)

Devon Energy Corp (DVN) DCF valuation $74.26/share or +53.64% undervalued

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Other recent Sells;

Barrick Mining Corp (B) Shares acquired 3 Buys in 2019 avg cost $11.15/share (18.57% CAGR)
Gold Fields Ltd ADR (GFI) shares acquired 3/2001 at $3.22/share sold at $41.32 (10.95% CAGR)
Tyson Foods (TSN) peeled off 13% of high cost shares for 6% gain
Paypal Holdings (PYPL) peeled off 55% of high cost shares for 25% gain (12.4% CAGR)
American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) peeled off 80% +90% s/t gain in 45 days (675% CAGR)
Pinnacle West Capital Corp (PNW) peeled off 40% high cost (3.32% CAGR)
Fluor Corp (FLR) closed out position 5% gain
Ugi Corp (UGI) peeled off 13% high cost shares w/ 7 Buys from 11/2023-1/2024 +27.91% CAGR

Buys

Cognizant Tech Sol (CTSH) small traking postion for this AI software developer; 14x PE 1.8% div
Organon & Co. (OGN) 9% add as I build position; 5.75% div; 4x PE but HUGE debt; deleverage, reduce div, making priciple payments from their huge FCF
FMC Corp (FMC) 10% add as I build position in this Ag company; 11x PE, 6.4% div; +16% undervalued from DCF valuation
Dentsply Sirona Inc (XRAY) 6% add 8xPE 4.8% div, but NOI has fluctuated so management has an 18 month restructure to save $200 million; resulted in expanding operating margins 20.21%; DCF valuation says stock +33.25% undervalued

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Still moved a lot of free cash to Vanguard Treasury Fund expecting some sell off. Will deploy some of that cash on any significant correction
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