It is still staggering to see Petraeus interview and praise Ahmed al-Sharaa. Yet this transformation did not happen overnight. Al-Sharaa and his group, Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), had already proven useful in the fight against ISIS and al-Qaeda years before his takeover of Damascus last December. While he once led Jabhat al-Nusra, al-Qaeda’s Syrian affiliate, he was never part of al-Qaeda’s central leadership and eventually broke with Nusra to form HTS. Over time, he has also emerged as a figure capable of galvanizing many Syrians after years of civil war–no small feat.
But the praise lavished on al-Sharaa in New York conference rooms obscures serious problems at home. As QI’s Steven Simon and I recently argued in Foreign Affairs, his insistence on rigid centralization has fueled sectarian violence. Attacks on Alawites and Druze, often carried out with the help of Bedouin fighters, as well as his exerting pressure on the Kurds to disarm, have deepened mistrust among Syria’s minorities. Israel has already intervened militarily to halt massacres of Druze communities, and the Kurdish-led Syrian Democratic Forces now view al-Sharaa’s government as a threat rather than a partner. In addition, while al-Sharaa’s new government has pledged to bring war criminals from the Assad regime to justice, that process has been delayed. The desire for some form of transitional justice may also be fueling sectarian violence in the country.
Once the glamor of the annual gathering of the U.N. General Assembly fades, al-Sharaa will face hard choices in Damascus. Some form of power-sharing is essential to prevent renewed conflict. Allowing minorities autonomy in local governance while keeping foreign policy, defense, and fiscal authority in Damascus could reduce sectarian tensions. Yet al-Sharaa’s coalition resists such reforms, fearing they would dilute Sunni dominance and HTS’s control. For U.S. policymakers, the challenge is to press al-Sharaa toward stability and compromise, not simply applaud his reinvention.
Responsible Statecraft
CIA Director David Petraeus proposed Operation Timber Sycamore, the program that would arm jihadist fighters in Syria in order to topple the Assad government. HTS, FSA, ISIS, and other groups were recipients of the support and very familiar to Petraeus as they acted like old friends in the interview. |
