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Strategies & Market Trends : A.I.M Users Group Bulletin Board

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From: OldAIMGuy	9/28/2025 9:54:21 AM
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This week's Risk Indicators In Full Peacock Colors! v-Wave.................. The v-Wave long term is unchanged this week at 34% suggested cash held in Reserve. SignalPoint's Market Risk Indicator (MRI) I note this week in Value Line's "Best/Worst Performers - Latest 13 Weeks" that the best performing stock is up 282% while the worst is down only 39.6%. To make the Best list it takes a 13 week gain of 72.2% while to make the Worst requires a 13 week loss of just 23.5%. Historically, since 1982 when I started keeping this data, this sort of data describes a speculative market and caution is advised. If we 'magnaflux' the MRI's data, we have two components cautious (Relative Valuation and Speculation) and two rising, but neutral (Divergence and IPO Activity). Combined, we see the MRI at 37% suggested cash for diversified portfolios (unchanged) with the MRI Oscillator showing +3 - modest upward risk pressure. The only "positive" I can see is that there's a lot of market watchers who think this is an over-cooked market. That might actually help the markets if investors start showing more caution. Last week's Advance/Decline data for the NYSE and Nasdaq Composite both show more decliners than advancers. Further, the number of New 52 Week Lows is growing even while the number of New 52 week Highs remains large. Are these Storm Clouds gathering??? Best wishes, OAG Tom Buy from the Scared; Sell to the Greedy.....

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