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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts

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To: Clam digger who wrote (95706)10/10/2025 8:21:48 PM
From: ajtj99  Read Replies (1) of 96793
 
Predictions and market signals

Analysts and investors
  • 70-80% odds against tariffs: Citing legal experts, JPMorgan has given a 70% to 80% probability that the Supreme Court will invalidate the IEEPA-based tariffs.
  • Betting on refunds: Some investors and hedge funds are purchasing claims to potential tariff refunds from importers, signaling confidence that the tariffs will be overturned.
  • Legal arguments: The case hinges on legal interpretations, including the "major-questions doctrine," which limits the executive branch's power on matters of "vast economic and political significance"
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