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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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E_K_S
To: Elroy who wrote (78279)10/16/2025 11:56:18 AM
From: Sean Collett1 Recommendation  Read Replies (2) of 78457
 
RE: WEN

Hello Elroy,

I compared to their historical EV/EBITDA so in-line otherwise I would have gone lower. I did not use AI to answer this one and just leveraged where they have historically been around. Quick comparison $LOCO is around 10x, $MCD (different beast) is ~19x, $QSR is around 15x, $YUM is 18x, $CMG around 30x.

I find it hard to compare things like $BLMN or $CAKE given they are different business models. While all in F&B there is a different experience and cost that goes into running these. The true QSR space can cut labor costs in ways that the full-service experience cannot. Cut your wait staff? This equals slower table-turns and worse guest experience and impacts revenue. QSR space (e.g, WEN) don't have this problem because I can order from a self-serve kiosk or some AI drive-through window and get the same experience as what I had prior and the company saves money doing it.

$BLMN is paying $0.15/s per quarter and $WEN is paying $0.14 so yields aside what you're getting each quarter is close. Dividend yield on $BLMN is 7.95% currently and $WEN is 6.36%. Not too much of a difference given the earnings potential I see on $WEN.

Given EBITDA growth on $WEN I believe it's undervalued today and can clip the dividend and benefit from repurchase program while I wait.

Will agree to disagree I suppose :)

Happy investing,
Sean
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