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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts
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To: ajtj99 who wrote (96225)10/25/2025 1:41:36 AM
From: Sun Tzu1 Recommendation

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ajtj99

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I was staring at the charts and I started articulating this idea I have had for an alternative form of regression channels for analyzing stocks and commodities. The concept has been composting in my head for a few years now. I keep coming back to it every several months or so.

I assigned the mastery of algorithmic trading and quantitative research to ChatGPT and asked it to keep poking holes into my theory. After nearly 1.5 hours of debate it agreed that I am right and that most quants throw away information that is actually material to detecting regime change.

The problem is that although I have a fair idea of how it should work, I still haven't worked out how a machine could do it. There are a lot of things that human can do looking at a chart and a machine can't because we just "get it". We absorb the chart in its entirety. Nobody has to define for you what the trend is or what constitutes a peak or a trough. But making a machine see it is not easy. There are a lot of edge cases and provisos that make it tedious.

And as I have explained before, I don't code things that require too many moving parts. So I am not going to start curve fitting to parameterize when a trough or trend change is significant and when it is not; there won't be anything like "if a slope changes more than M and lasts longer than T, then it is significant."

I need to clean the logic, not the parameters. And usually that is not easy.
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