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Strategies & Market Trends : ajtj's Post-Lobotomy Market Charts and Thoughts
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catou1
To: catou1 who wrote (96399)10/30/2025 2:25:09 PM
From: Sun Tzu1 Recommendation  Read Replies (1) of 96428
 
Andy is a macro investor and looks at flow of funds and options.
He measures what happens at treasury auctions, government spendings, gold prices, index flow of funds, etc. Then he plans for risk adjusted returns.
If he is all in cash, it basically means that he cannot find anything that is priced favorably on risk adjusted basis and he cannot hedge for various scenarios with options either. So basically no matter what he buys he is taking a losing bet on risk adjusted basis.

It doesn't affect me because I have less money and I can get in and out of the market faster than he can. It also means differently to me because I play in a different sandbox. For example, at the top today, my portfolio was up 2% even though every index and commodity was pretty much down (or at least nowhere near my performance).

I have zero bonds and after gold peaked (right about the top) I sold all my gold too. Ditto for my rare earths, etc. The only index that I own is KORU. So I really do play in a different sandbox than him. But of course if the US market drops 20%, there is no way that I can hold any of these positions unscathed. I am just hoping that in such a case I will be fast enough to join the short side.
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