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Strategies & Market Trends : World Outlook

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To: Don Green who wrote (49343)12/9/2025 9:48:23 AM
From: Les H  Read Replies (1) of 49664
 
It will drag on because Russia never intended to occupy the Western half of Ukraine and become the target of guerrilla warfare from pro-EU Ukrainians and NATO mercenaries coming across the border. Extensive tunnel networks were built in and around the cities during the Cold War. As with Islamic State in Syria, another US proxy, I would expect that there has been extensive tunneling under Ukraine's borders to move men and heavy equipment from bordering NATO countries.

The two sides were in a ceasefire negotiation 96 hours into the war. Russia relied on air superiority and used a very low number of troops (outnumbered 3-1) which encouraged NATO to force Ukraine to continue the proxy war.

The geography of Ukraine is such that Russia taking the land up to the Dnieper River will make it very difficult for NATO/Ukraine to mount future counteroffensives because of the open steppe. That is probably where the war becomes frozen, and why the US is in a rush to get an agreement to freeze the battle lines before it reaches that point.
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