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Technology Stocks : Qualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting
QCOM 176.45+2.4%9:40 AM EST

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John Hayman
manning18
pheilman_
From: Jim Mullens12/10/2025 1:09:14 PM
3 Recommendations  Read Replies (2) of 196984
 
QCOM – AAPL modem analysis .....................................................................

Just completed the above analysis using my Copilot AI assistant

  • Interesting results >>>>” .....Apple’s decision is about control and integration, not short-term financial savings.....”.
  • Actually, going in-house results in about $50B added cost to AAPL over the next 10 years
Strategic Takeaway
  • Financially, Apple’s modem insourcing is more expensive than continuing to buy from Qualcomm through 2035.
  • The ROI is negative if measured purely on cost.
  • The true value is strategic independence: Apple controls its silicon stack, reduces reliance on Qualcomm, and integrates modems tightly with A-series/M-series chips and future AR glasses.
Bottom line:

  • With $18B sunk R&D, Apple does not recover costs by 2035.
  • Continuing to buy Qualcomm modems would have cost ~$55B over 10 years, versus ~$103B for going in-house.
  • Apple’s decision is about control and integration, not short-term financial savings.
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