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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing
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To: Madharry who wrote (78713)12/12/2025 4:13:42 PM
From: Elroy   of 78735
 
if you pick a stock at random the likelihood of it out performing the market over an extended period of time was ?

Ok, lets see.

Quite low.

Over a long period of time "the market" weeds out losers and replaces them with winners. You're "random pick" can't weed itself out.

In recent years the large caps have been killing it, pulling the market higher. This means that the vast majority of the rest of stocks are sucking wind relative to the large caps and the market.

So I'd say ........ 5% of random stock picks outperform the market over ten years.
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