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Pastimes : Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking
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From: S. maltophilia12/17/2025 9:45:36 PM
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.... At first glance, it looked like a major forecast miss. The National Weather Service (NWS) had projected record-shattering river crests—levels that ultimately did not materialize.

The truth turned out to be far more consequential.

Based on those extreme flood forecasts, the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (USACE) proactively took control of upstream dam operations, impounding roughly 50,000 cubic feet per second of flow into Ross Lake.

That single operational decision reduced downstream river crests by an estimated 4–6 feet—dramatically limiting the extent and severity of flooding in populated areas.

The forecast wasn’t wrong. It changed behavior...

g2weather.com
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