SI
SI
discoversearch

We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Politics : Sam's miscellany
MU 286.68+3.8%Dec 24 12:59 PM EST
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  
From: Sam12/17/2025 10:46:33 PM
   of 1926
 
Rethinking the Threat: Why China is Unlikely to Invade Taiwan
An invasion of Taiwan is far more complicated than Washington narratives would suggest

By Dan Grazier Lead Author • James Siebens Author • MacKenna Rawlins Author
September 3, 2025


  1. Download

  2. Introduction

  3. P.R.C. Considerations

  4. Geographic Realities

  5. Amphibious Operations

  6. Taiwan’s Military Preparations

  7. Potential International Responses

  8. Measures Short of War

  9. Current Military Realities

  10. Conclusion
This report draws on extensive research, including fieldwork in Taiwan, to assess the likelihood of a Chinese invasion. Contrary to dominant defense narratives in Washington, the analysis shows such a scenario would be among the most complex and dangerous military operations in history. From risk of nuclear escalation to prospects of political upheaval and economic catastrophe, the barriers to invasion are immense. U.S. defense policymakers should reconsider this assumption on which to establish future military plans and explore more probable conflict scenarios.

Download
Full Report (PDF)

Introduction

U.S. Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth’s interim National Defense Strategic Guidance 1 directed the military to prioritize Taiwan, signaling the Trump administration’s intent to center its defense planning on the threat perceived from the People’s Republic of China (P.R.C.)
continues at stimson.org


Report TOU ViolationShare This Post
 Public ReplyPrvt ReplyMark as Last ReadFilePrevious 10Next 10PreviousNext  

HomeMailHotSubjectMarksPeopleMarksKeepersSettings
Terms Of UseContact UsCopyright/IP PolicyPrivacy PolicyAbout UsFAQAdvertise on SI
© 2025 Knight Sac Media.  Data provided by Twelve Data, Alpha Vantage, and CityFALCON News