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Strategies & Market Trends : Value Investing

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To: Paul Senior who wrote (78754)	12/19/2025 1:11:33 PM
From: Sean Collett	Read Replies (2) of 79147

RE: NKE Tracking position is one thing but a fuller position is another I suppose. From a technical standpoint (taboo!) it's now well under the daily 50/100/200 SMA with a trend pushing lower. It is also below on the weekly as well. Decent resistance forming so not sure I would risk an entry today. Using a 10% discount rate I just can't buy a value > $50/s right now so in my analysis there isn't a firm MOS in the price one is paying today. If their earnings were showing something different this would be a different discussion but like I wrote before the competition has ramped up and I am not sure $NKE has the same marketing story they had decades ago. They're still guiding lower revenue into 2026. Inventory has also built up a ton so the tariff impacts are likely starting to really eat them as they're growing and that cost is coming into view. Outside of that I am not seeing what the growth story is - despite analysts giving buy signals. Maybe a small bounce given the selling pressure, but long-term I am not seeing the growth story that creates a value holding. It being a low price wouldn't be enough and I still think opportunity cost eats at this one. Happy investing, Sean

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