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re: The Russian winter is likely to be cold, dark and hungry.
There are signs, when one is stuck inside an echo chamber, not receiving any "signal" coming from the outside.
One clear sign is: accusing the other side of doing something bad and lacking self awareness that your own side is doing the same thing, maybe 10x as much. To someone outside who is not imprisoned inside an echo chamber, this sounds like the person is dumb, but the person (victim imprisoned in the echo chamber) completely honestly has never heard of it.
Another sign, this one related to the war. There is a really dumb argument being repeated for 4 straight years: Ukraine is going to do X, and that will be a game changer, will cause such a heavy damage that Russia will never recover.
At the same time, Russia has capability and arsenal to do 20X. But the people inside the echo chamber have never considered the flip side of the argument. If one is to believe X is going to cause so much damage, what happens to Ukraine if they are on the receiving side of 20X the damage
Because that is what is being taught inside the echo chamber: Never "test" any argument, accept it blindly. And one thing, absolutely crucial: never: consider anything that has been vetted and predigested for you inside the echo chamber.
In case of power infrastructure inside Ukraine, it is holding up by duct tape and bubble gum. Putin has held off pulling the power plug on Ukraine, out of good will to Trump, while negotiations are ongoing. But there is too much pressure on Putin to finally pull the plug for good...
Here is an interesting video, the interviewee is Gilbert Doctorow, academic in Belgium, who is native Russian speaker. He has a decent finger on the pulse of what is going on inside Russia (and EU). He believes the pressure on Putin to finally escalate is more than Putin can hold off anymore: (it is prior to EU summit, so some of it is speculation on its outcome).
