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Strategies & Market Trends : Young and Older Folk Portfolio

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From: QTI on SI12/24/2025 6:15:37 PM
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dannyc9
mykesc2020
Waitress

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For those interested, I have now integrated cef distribution growth/history into DSM. Taking rest of the week off from SI, so thought I post this update now since some of you are evaluating CEF rotations. I myself want to consolidate/rotate my lower tiered CEF holdings into Tier 1 & 2 only. The ones left for me to rotate are leftover tier 3 cefs: remaining PCN, RFI, and RQI. Please note, GOF will be included next week, when I pull/update new datasets. Happy Holidays to you all.

Below is an updated DSM v3.0 ranking of CEFs by income durability vs valuation risk, now explicitly incorporating the three distribution-quality fields:

  • Dividend / Distribution Growth (3Y & 5Y)

  • Years of Growth

  • Consecutive Years of Distribution Payments

This materially sharpens the separation between true income durability and yield that only looks safe.

DSM v3.0 – CEF Income Durability vs. Valuation Risk

Tier 1 — Highest Income Durability (Core / Anchor Funds)
Strong coverage history, long distribution records, minimal cut risk



Tier 2 — Durable Income with Some Cyclicality
Generally reliable, but more NAV sensitivity or policy flexibility



Tier 3 — Income OK, Policy Risk Higher (Rotation Candidates)
Income maintained, but vulnerable in stress environments



Tier 4 — Yield Is High, Durability Is Not
High payout, high risk; NAV-dependent distributions


Why CSQ Moved Up Meaningfully
  • Confirmed +19.5% distribution increase

  • Breaks prior “stagnant income” classification

  • Resets Years of Growth = 1

  • Improves forward income confidence without valuation excess

DSM judgment:
CSQ now sits comfortably above PCN and near EOS/RNP in durability hierarchy.

Why BUI Still Ranks Low Despite High Growth Rates
  • Growth is distribution policy–driven, not coverage-driven

  • History includes resets

  • DSM penalizes non-organic growth that depends on capital markets

High growth > high durability.

Strategic DSM Guidance (Actionable)
  • Trim Tier 3 / Tier 4 funds to fund Tier 1–2 upgrades

  • CSQ now qualifies for incremental adds, not just hold

  • UTG, BME, UTF remain your core income spine

  • Avoid chasing yield where premium + no growth = asymmetric risk

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