Extreme Temperature Diary- Tuesday January 27, 2026/ Main Topic: Earth Was Hit By 55 Billion-Dollar Weather Disasters In 2025 – Guy On Climate
Dear Diary. During January of each year experts tally up damages from extreme weather across the planet that occurred the prior year. Due to climate change the Earth had more than its share of heatwaves, droughts and floods last year. Tallies will only get higher unfortunately due to our long-term carbon pollution.
Dr. Jeff Masters has done a great job looking at climate damage data from 2025, which I’m reposting for our main topic today:
Earth was hit by 55 billion-dollar weather disasters in 2025 » Yale Climate Connections
Earth was hit by 55 billion-dollar weather disasters in 2025The world endured its costliest wildfire on record in 2025, its sixth-deadliest heat wave, and four floods or storms that caused at least 1,000 deaths. by Jeff Masters January 26, 2026
Daniel Evans of Great Britain puts ice on his head during a break in play at a Wimbledon tennis match. A summer heat wave in Europe that killed more than 24,000 people was 2025’s deadliest weather event. (Photo by Mike Hewitt/Getty Images)
The planet was besieged by 55 billion-dollar weather disasters in 2025, insurance broker Gallagher Re said in its annual report issued Jan. 21. The total damage wrought by weather disasters in 2024 was $277 billion; 45% of those costs were covered by insurance. The 2025 damages were 25% lower than the 10-year inflation-adjusted average of $367 billion.
A separate report issued Jan. 20 by insurance broker Aon put the total damage wrought by weather disasters in 2024 at $242 billion, with 47 billion-dollar weather disasters. Billion-dollar weather disasters cause about 76% of the total damages wrought by weather disasters, according to Steve Bowen of Gallagher Re.
Reminder: Yes, large-scale events that cause at least $1 billion in direct economic impacts drive the bulk of annual US catastrophe losses. But the non-billion-dollar events still drive considerable aggregate costs.
Since 2010, non-billion-dollar events account for 24% of US losses ($544 billion). — Steve Bowen (@stevebowen.bsky.social) 2026-01-08T21:17:29.040Z
The primary reason for the below-average total cost in 2025 was the absence of a landfalling U.S. hurricane for the first time since 2015. Gallagher Re’s report emphasized that nevertheless, “The persistent trend of a high volume of billion-dollar-plus global events highlights the urgent need for greater climate financing to mitigate, adapt and prepare against more expensive disasters.”
The report’s authors also called for stronger building codes, noting that “A 2019 study by the US National Institute of Building Sciences (NIBS) found that adopting building codes can translate to $11 saved for every $1 invested. Building to a modern code (either through new construction or retrofitting) was found to only add 1% to construction costs, relative to 1990 values.”
Severe convective storm events (including wind, flood, hail, and tornado damage from thunderstorms) in 2023, 2024, and 2025 cost global insurers a combined $208 billion in today’s dollars, of which $176 billion (85%) has occurred in the U.S. This peril is now a dominant annual loss driver for the industry.
After the US admin cancelled the $B Climate + Weather Disaster dataset, @climatecentral.org hired the scientists who ran it and set it back up.
Now the 2025 numbers are in: it's 3rd highest year on record and highest year w/o land-falling hurricanes.
More: www.climatecentral.org/climate-serv... — Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2026-01-08T17:33:17.775Z
U.S. sees its third-highest number of billion-dollar weather disasters: 23As discussed in our Jan. 13 post, 2025 brought 23 weather-related U.S. disasters that each topped at least $1 billion in damage, according to the U.S. Billion-Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters website. The site was adopted by Climate Central last October after NOAA, its original creator, discontinued it in May 2025. Adam Smith, who had served as lead NOAA scientist on the project over the last 15 years, continues to lead the project at its new home at Climate Central, where he is now senior climate impacts scientist.
The U.S. billion-dollar disasters of 2025 caused a total of 276 direct fatalities. Their estimated cost, according to Climate Central, was $311 billion (USD 2026). This puts the year in eighth place among the 46 years of data after adjusting for inflation. The year’s tally of 23 billion-dollar events was the third-highest in the 46-year database.
Using different accounting methods, Gallagher Re and Aon tallied 28 and 27 U.S.-billion-dollar weather disasters for 2025, respectively.
Read: The role of climate change in the catastrophic 2025 Los Angeles fires
Costliest weather event of 2025: the Los Angeles firesThe costliest event of the year by far was a series of cataclysmic wildfires that ravaged more than 57,000 acres (89 square miles) across the Los Angeles area in early January. As reported by Climate Central, the total direct losses were estimated at $61 billion, making it the 10th-costliest weather disaster in world history. Most of the damage was caused by the massive Palisades and Eaton fires, which were the two most expensive wildfires in world history, with $37 billion and $28 billion in losses, respectively, according to Gallagher Re. That $65 billion combined damage total was modestly higher than Climate Central’s $61 billion estimate.
Figure 1. The top 17 most costly weather events in Asia, after adjusting for inflation. Data is from Gallagher Re for 2025, and from EM-DAT for prior years.
The second-costliest weather disaster of 2025 was seasonal flooding in China that did $23 billion in damage and killed 362 people. This was China’s 10th-costliest weather disaster on record, and Asia’s 12th-costliest.
Figure 2. The deadliest heat waves in world history.
Deadliest weather disaster of 2025: European heat wave kills more than 24,000Earth’s third-hottest year on record caused more than 24,000 deaths during a summer heat wave in Europe. This ranks as the sixth-deadliest heat wave in world history.
The deadliest storm of 2025 was Tropical Cyclone Senyar, which killed 1,482 people in Indonesia, Thailand, and Myanmar. In addition, seasonal monsoon floods in India and Pakistan killed 1,200 and 1,077 people, respectively, and a landslide in Sudan killed 1,000 people.
Read: Warming world, deadly problem: Heat-related deaths are surging
Drought losses well below average in 2025According to Aon, drought caused approximately $13 billion in losses globally in 2025, well below the 2000-2024 average of $40 billion per year. The most expensive drought occurred in Brazil, with about $5 billion in losses. Brazil has suffered $139 billion in drought-related losses over the past 30 years, and Aon said “high drought conditions could endanger roughly 54% of global coffee crops by 2050.”
In the U.S., drought caused $2.4 billion in economic losses and $1.2 billion in crop insured losses in 2025. Both figures are well below their long-term averages and among the lowest annual totals recorded in the 21st century.
Figure 3. The costliest Atlantic hurricane relative to GDP for each nation/territory, 1960-2025. Dollar amounts are unadjusted for inflation. Strength of the hurricane is given for landfall in that nation; Hurricane Mitch (1998) was a Cat 5 offshore of Honduras and Guatemala when it did much of its damage in those nations. GDP data is unreliable in many places before 1990. (It may be that Martinique’s costliest hurricane relative to GDP was Hugo in 1989, but no reliable GDP data exists that year.)
Two nations suffered their costliest weather disasters on record in 2025Using statistics from Gallagher Re for 2025 and EM-DAT for years before 2025, two nations or territories suffered their most expensive weather disasters on record in 2025: Jamaica and Sri Lanka. For comparison, four nations or territories had their most expensive weather-related natural disaster in history (relative to GDP) in 2024, and seven did so in 2023. Note that these tallies will be considerably different using Aon or Gallagher Re disaster figures, which can differ from EM-DAT’s by a factor of two. Gallagher Re’s database is generally superior to EM-DAT’s but is not publicly available.
Jamaica: Mighty Category 5 Hurricane Melissa made landfall in October in southwestern Jamaica with 185 mph (300 kph) winds, tying for first place as the strongest landfalling hurricane on record anywhere in the Atlantic. Melissa killed 54 people in Jamaica, and a rapid damage assessment from the World Bank indicated an economic loss in Jamaica of $8.8 billion, 41% of the country’s 2024 gross domestic product. Jamaica’s previous costliest weather disaster was Category 4 Hurricane Gilbert of 1988, which inflicted damages of $1 billion ($2.7 billion 2025 USD), 26% of its GDP at the time.
Sri Lanka: Slow-moving Cyclone Ditwah dumped prodigious amounts of rain over Sri Lanka in late November and early December, causing catastrophic flooding that killed 643 people and caused $4.1 billion in damage. This was equivalent to 4% of the nation’s GDP. Sri Lanka’s previous most expensive weather disaster (adjusted for inflation) was flooding in 2016 that cost $1.6 billion and killed 203 people. Only two previous tropical cyclones have been deadlier in Sri Lanka: Cyclone 04B in 1978 (1,500 killed) and the Rameswaram Cyclone of December 1964 (1,000 killed).
Bob Henson contributed to this post.
Dr. Jeff Master’s “Earth was hit by 55-billion-dollar weather disasters in 2025“ was first published on Yale Climate Connections, a program of the Yale School of the Environment, available at: yaleclimateconnections.org./ This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-Noncommercial-No Derivative Works 2.5 license (CC BY-NC-ND 2.5).
Here are more “ET’s” recorded from around the planet the last couple of days, their consequences, and some extreme temperature outlooks, as well as any extreme precipitation reports: twitter.com
Today the United States formally exited the Paris Climate Agreement - again. Are you embarrassed? We sure are…
🔥 The planet is barreling through record heat, worsening disasters and mounting economic losses.
🗳️ Climate action is on the ballot. Go to votefromabroad.org.
#climate #parisagreement — Democrats Abroad (@demsabroad.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T16:13:44.091Z
"A Winter Storm Fueled by Global Warming Tests U.S. Disaster Response" by @kiley.bsky.social, @bberwyn.bsky.social, @keertigopal.bsky.social, Lee Hedgepeth & Lisa Sorg for @insideclimatenews.org: insideclimatenews.org/news/2601202... — Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T14:39:02.180Z
At WEF, speeches by world leaders totaled almost four hours of speaking time: and not one mentioned climate change.
So @wedonthavetime.bsky.social organized an alternative WEF speech by some of the world’s leading scientists and systems thinkers. It took place on a pile of snow.
Watch here: — Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2026-01-25T21:50:01.063Z
Critiques of AI are valid; but many climate-based arguments reveal our bias toward small individual actions over real systemic change.
e.g. ⬇️
An LLM query = running a microwave for seconds
An hour of Netflix = enough to make popcorn
Yet few are boycotting their fav shows.
Interested? Read more: — Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2026-01-27T14:28:51.030Z
Not to agitate my North American friends, but it's currently 7°C (45°F) here in Reykjavík and hasn't snowed all month. I haven't worn my big winter coat in a week.
Our local mountain, Esjan, basically has no snow. Pic from earlier this month; less snow now!
#iceland #climate
#aurora #northernlights — Jessý Potato (@markdownhandsup.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T15:33:09.353Z
9/ Speaking of which: if you’re in the UK, go see my friend @peteknapp.bsky.social's new film “Fires and Fascism”, about how community action can confront the far right and #climate breakdown together. — Dr. Aaron Thierry (@thierryaaron.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T03:09:51.254Z
It’s not that complex. #auspol #climate — Jess Harwood Art (@jessharwoodart.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T04:18:11.548Z
This weekend looks as brutal across #Florida as I can remember!
A bomb cyclone, w/the “potential” for heavy Southeast Coast #snow, will propel bitterly cold air south into the state. The real possibility exists for wind chills ranging from the single digits north to 20s as far south as Miami Sunday. — Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-01-26T23:09:41.984Z
Polar Vortex Visit! Watch as a piece of the Polar Vortex breaks off and ignites a bomb cyclone along the East Coast. Heavy #snow / #Blizzard conditions for the SE Coast and one of the coldest patterns I can remember for the Deep South and #Florida #cold #freeze — Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T14:22:22.146Z
Heads up! Legit chance for Gulf Effect Flurries near the Tampa Bay Area Saturday night.
I’ll be honest, model support is modest at best, but the meteorology says it’s possible. Let’s science this up… 1/ — Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T13:52:53.068Z
In my newsletter this morning, I shared the experimental real-time freezing rain ice accumulation analysis developed by the winter weather research group at NSSL. This is the kind of R2O NOAA does that has clear societal benefit - and that the admin wants to curtail. tinyurl.com/43kcrhmb — Alan Gerard (@wxmanms1.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T02:50:29.779Z
Excellent analysis by @drshepherd2013.bsky.social of why this has been a perfect storm—and maybe at a perfect cultural moment—for fostering viewer/consumer rage directed at societal experts, in this case broadcast/online meteorologists. — Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2026-01-26T13:55:59.633Z
See Earth’s atmosphere like never before!
The first images from MTG-S1's Infrared Sounder (IRS) were unveiled today at the #EuropeanSpaceConf, revealing storms, moisture flows and temperature patterns in striking detail - a preview of the near real-time weather and #climate data to come. (cont. 🧵) — EUMETSAT (@eumetsat.int) 2026-01-27T09:32:17.703Z
UK, Belgium, Denmark, France, Germany, Iceland, Ireland, Luxembourg, Netherlands, Norway declaration for 100 gigawatts (GW) offshore wind power, enough electricity to power 143m homes.
#renewable #climate
www.theguardian.com/environment/... — Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T11:29:35.891Z
Clean tech investments hit a record high last year, reaching $2.3 trillion. www.bloomberg.com/news/article... — Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T12:20:18.643Z
Analysis: EVs just outsold petrol cars in EU for first time ever #Climate — Climate Tracker (@climate.skyfleet.blue) 2026-01-27T15:03:46.493Z
With renewable energy deployments dipping last year due to Chinese power market reforms, electric vehicles are the overwhelming global leader in decarbonization technology: — Alexander C. Kaufman (@alexckaufman.bsky.social) 2026-01-26T18:00:43.487Z
The future is green: The economic opportunities brought by the UK’s net zero economy
eciu.net/analysis/rep... — Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T12:17:05.671Z
Hillside 'battery' outside Plymouth in Devon begun generating electricity using a first of a kind hydropower system embedded underground.
www.theguardian.com/business/202... — Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T11:33:28.013Z
\Scotland's largest Passivhaus school slashes energy bills by £430k.
www.heraldscotland.com/news/2579882... — Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T11:34:08.163Z
After 4 years of war with no embargo, European Commission apparently at last finally preparing complete ban on #Russia #nuclear fuel imports.
#Ukraine
tass.com/economy/2077... — Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T16:00:19.963Z
\Another miserable year for #nuclear power as #renewables surge
#climate
reneweconomy.com.au/another-mise... — Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T11:13:05.649Z
\#AI Artificial intelligence will not revive the #nuclear industry. On the contrary, we need #Renewableenergy and natural intelligence.
beyondnuclearinternational.org/2026/01/25/a... — Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T11:20:33.444Z
“Misinformation Studies Meets the Raw Milk Renaissance" | Article by Renée DiResta (@noupside.bsky.social) for @lawfaremedia.org:
www.lawfaremedia.org/article/misi... — Michael E. Mann (@michaelemann.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T19:00:29.301Z
14% of all U.S. government STEM Ph.D.s have left the workforce since Dec. 2024, a huge brain drain. New hires replaced only about 9% of the departures (at 14 of the agencies studied). — Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T15:17:50.860Z
Trees circulate radiocaesium using light energy, according to Prof Kenji Nanba, director of the Institute of Environmental Radioactivity (IER) at Fukushima University and an expert on the impact radiation has had on #Fukushima’s wildlife.
#nuclear #Japan
www.theguardian.com/environment/... — Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T12:31:55.883Z
"#Russia ‘risks #nuclear catastrophe’ by restarting #Zaporizhzhia reactor. #Ukrainia staff at the plant have been working under duress for almost four years. Moscow accused of ‘nuclear terrorism’ for attacking Ukraine’s energy grid."
www.thetimes.com/world/russia... — Dr Paul Dorfman (@drpauldorfman.bsky.social) 2026-01-27T11:18:34.655Z
The world has lost one of its most courageous and passionate advocates for people + science.
Back in the days of Twitter, I saw her regularly send encouragement to people she’d never met. That was who she was: a model of joy, perseverance, courage, and kindness.
Kirsty, you will be so missed. 💔 — Katharine Hayhoe (@katharinehayhoe.com) 2026-01-27T01:49:42.766Z
A new study provides more evidence that most of Earth's #water came with the original matter that formed the planet, not with later bombardment by meteorites and comets.
science.nasa.gov/science-rese... — Peter Gleick (@petergleick.bsky.social) 2026-01-26T19:20:52.571Z
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