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Strategies & Market Trends : Technical analysis for shorts & longs
SPY 692.06-0.3%Feb 10 4:00 PM EST

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To: Johnny Canuck who wrote (70629)2/9/2026 12:25:21 PM
From: Johnny Canuck  Read Replies (2) of 70668
 
Conversation with Gemini



Summarize: m.youtube.com



This video from House of El discusses the strategic move by China to promote the Renminbi (Yuan) as a global reserve currency, timed with the U.S. dollar hitting a six-year low in early 2026.

The Strategic Timing
  • The Announcement: On February 1, 2026, China published a 2024 speech by Xi Jinping outlining plans to make the Renminbi a global reserve currency [ 00:29].

  • Economic Context: The release coincided with the U.S. dollar index dropping to 95.5, its lowest point since 2022, amid Federal Reserve leadership transitions and tariff-related uncertainty [ 00:54].

China’s Three-Pillar StrategyChina is systematically building the infrastructure needed for reserve status [ 02:20]:

  1. A Powerful Central Bank: Capable of attracting global capital.

  2. Liquid Financial Markets: Deep markets where investors can easily trade.

  3. Widespread Usage: Embedding the currency in international trade rather than just central bank reserves.

Key Developments in De-dollarization
  • Trade Finance: The Renminbi is now the world's second-largest trade finance currency [ 01:47].

  • Bilateral Trade: Russia and China have shifted 99.1% of their trade to rubles and yuan [ 06:05]. Brazil-China trade now sees 40% settlement in local currencies [ 06:23].

  • Alternative Systems: China developed CIPS (Cross-Border Interbank Payment System) as an alternative to SWIFT, reducing vulnerability to U.S. sanctions [ 02:55].

The "Exorbitant Privilege" at Risk
  • The U.S. currently benefits from being able to print money the world must hold, allowing it to fund large deficits [ 04:45].

  • As confidence in U.S. policy stability wavers—cited by Germany’s financial regulator BaFin—central banks are diversifying away from the dollar [ 04:00].

Future Outlook
  • Commodity Markets: The narrator predicts a major shift if oil exporters like Saudi Arabia begin accepting Renminbi for oil [ 09:36].

  • Digital Integration: The e-CNY (digital yuan) is being promoted to make cross-border payments faster and cheaper than traditional banking [ 10:01].

  • Strategic Goal: China doesn't need to fully replace the dollar; they only need enough adoption to limit the effectiveness of U.S. financial sanctions [ 07:26].

Watch the full video here: m.youtube.com



DOLLAR LOSES RESERVE STATUS - Xi Releases Plan as US Currency CRASHES to 6-Year Low

House of El · 53K views






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